Prediction for match Leon — Juarez

Match Preview

On April 19th, in the Liga MX, Leon will face Juarez. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Leon is priced at 2.25, a victory for Juarez is at 2.86, and a draw is at 3.58. The probability of Leon winning is 41.40%, a draw is 26.02%, and Juarez winning is 32.57%. The over/under goal market highlights the over 2.5 goals bet with odds of 1.66, making it an attractive option for predictions. Both teams consistently score and concede, as reflected in recent match statistics, supporting a bet on a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leon secured two victories: they defeated Puebla 1-0 on April 11th, Atlas 2-0 on April 5th, and Atletico San Luis 2-1 on March 22nd. Before that, they lost 0-5 to Guadalajara and 0-3 to Tijuana. During the same period, Juarez drew 1-1 with Queretaro on April 8th and Puebla on April 4th, and lost 1-2 to Tijuana on April 11th. They previously drew 2-2 with Monterrey and beat Tigres UANL 2-1. In additional metrics, Leon averages 54.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match over five games. Juarez averages 53% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 27, 2025, Juarez beat Leon 2-0.

How Many Goals in Leon vs Juarez Match

Both teams show a scoring profile: over a five-match series, Leon and Juarez average a total of 2.8 goals. Leon scores 1 goal and concedes 1.8 on average, while Juarez scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. Both teams have hit the over 2.5 goals mark 3 out of 5 times. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams, while in the second half, Juarez hit over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, and Leon only 1 out of 5. Leon most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), and Juarez in the same interval (57%). Leon concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (33%), while Juarez concedes evenly at 29% in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90. All this suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match and supports the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.66, given the consistent hitting of this total in recent matches by both teams and their high average scoring rate.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Leon averages 5.2 corners per match, and Juarez 6.4, totaling 11.6. For the over 9.5 corners market, Leon hit over 3 out of 5 times, and Juarez 4 out of 5. The closest line to the average sum is 9.5 corners: the over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.96. In the corners outcome market, Leon is the favorite with odds of 1.94. Given the high average of corners taken and frequent hitting of higher totals, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, and also note the active play of both teams on set pieces.