Prediction for match Lille — Crvena Zvezda

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Europa League on 19.02.2026, Lille will face Crvena Zvezda. The odds for a Lille win are 1.72, a draw is at 4.11, and a Crvena Zvezda victory is at 5.28. In terms of probabilities: Lille - 57.33%, draw - 23.99%, Crvena Zvezda - 18.68%. Based on these figures, Lille is the favorite, but the gap isn't significant, and the odds on total goals suggest expectations for goals from both sides. For over 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.81, and for under 2.5 goals - 2.15. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.72, no - 2.02. Individual totals options: Lille over 1.5 - 1.71, Crvena Zvezda over 0.5 - 1.49. Second half option: total over 1.5 - 2.01. Overall, the line suggests a potentially high-scoring match, but with some caution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lille averages 59.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Crvena Zvezda, over the same period, holds 63.2% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. Lille's last three matches: 14.02.2026 Lille - Brest 1-1, 06.02.2026 Metz - Lille 0-0, 01.02.2026 Lyon - Lille 1-0. Crvena Zvezda's recent games: 14.02.2026 Zeleznicar Pancevo - Crvena Zvezda 0-3, 07.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda - Novi Pazar 5-0, 01.02.2026 Cukaricki - Crvena Zvezda 1-3. In their head-to-head on 06.11.2025, Crvena Zvezda defeated Lille 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over 5 matches, Lille has only 1 of 5 games going over 2.5, while Crvena Zvezda has 3 of 5 matches with three or more goals. For first-half goals, both teams have 1 of 5 over 1.5, and in the second half, Lille has 2 of 5, Crvena Zvezda has 3 of 5 over 1.5. The average goal count in Lille's matches is 1.8, and for Crvena Zvezda, it's 3. For goals scored: Lille - 0.6, Crvena Zvezda - 2.6. For goals conceded: Lille - 1.2, Crvena Zvezda - 0.4. Lille most frequently scores between the 76th-90th minutes (50%), while Crvena Zvezda scores in the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). In terms of goals conceded, Lille is most vulnerable between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), Crvena Zvezda between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each). Based on this data, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.53 seems justified: Crvena Zvezda is prolific, Lille regularly concedes, and there's movement in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over 5 matches, Lille averages 8.4 corners, Crvena Zvezda - 7.2. In a series of five games, Lille had over 9.5 corners 2 out of 5 times, Crvena Zvezda 4 out of 5. The corner market offers a line at 15 corners: over 9.5 is at 1.81, under 9.5 - 1.89. For corners, Lille is favored with odds of 1.32. Considering the average values of both teams and the frequency of overs, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially given Crvena Zvezda's attacking style and Lille's flank crossing activity.