Prediction for match Lille — Nice

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the French Ligue 1, Lille will face Nice on April 18. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Lille is priced at 1.60, a draw at 4.37, and a victory for Nice at 6.25. In terms of probabilities: Lille has a 61.65% chance, a draw is at 22.57%, and Nice at 15.78%. Lille is the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, supported by their current form and statistics. These figures reflect analysts' confidence in Lille's strength at this stage of the season.

Team Results and Statistics

Lille has shown excellent results in their last three matches: they defeated Toulouse 4-0 on April 12, thrashed Lens 3-0 on April 4, and won against Marseille 2-1 on March 22. In the same period, Nice drew 1-1 with Le Havre on April 12, lost 3-1 to Strasbourg on April 4, and suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat to PSG on March 21. On average over five matches, Lille has 50.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Nice has 41.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 29, 2025, Nice defeated Lille 2-0. These statistics highlight the difference in style and discipline between the teams, as well as Nice's tendency for a more aggressive game with more fouls and offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Lille vs Nice

In Lille's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, and under 2.5 once. For Nice, over 2.5 goals happened 3 times, under 2.5 twice. Lille's average goals per match is 3, while Nice's is 3.2. Lille scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 0.8, while Nice scores 0.8 and concedes 2.4. In terms of halves, Lille's second half was always high-scoring (5 out of 5 over 1.5), while the first half never went over 1.5. For Nice, the second half went over 1.5 in 3 out of 5, and the first half 2 out of 5. Lille most frequently scores and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (57% and 50% respectively), while Nice scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%) and concedes late in the game (76th-90th minutes, 38%). These figures suggest a high likelihood of a high-scoring second half and a general trend towards over 2.5 goals. Lille's strong scoring ability and Nice's defensive issues make a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Lille averages 3.2 corners per match, while Nice averages 5.8. In their last five encounters, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams. As per the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.98. Lille is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.25. Considering the average total corners (9), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although the frequency is not very high. It's also worth noting that Nice earns more corners, while Lille relies more on effective attacks than set pieces. Overall, a balance of around 9-10 corners per match can be expected.