Prediction for match Lens — Toulouse

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse is set for 17.04.2026. Bookmakers have Lens as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.60, a draw at 4.42, and a win for Toulouse at 6.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lens - 61.65%, draw - 22.32%, Toulouse - 16.04%. This reflects Lens's advantage in current form and scoring ability, as confirmed by recent match statistics. Among the main bets, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.75 is particularly appealing, considering both teams' scoring profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lens recorded the following results: 04.04.2026 Lille - Lens 3-0, 20.03.2026 Lens - Angers 5-1, 14.03.2026 Lorient - Lens 2-1. Toulouse's recent form includes: 12.04.2026 Toulouse - Lille 0-4, 03.04.2026 PSG - Toulouse 3-1, 21.03.2026 Toulouse - Lorient 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 02.01.2026, Toulouse lost to Lens 0-3. Lens maintains an average ball possession of 52.2%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. Over the last five matches, Toulouse averages 41.2% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per match.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Lens - Toulouse

Lens shows a strong over-profile: in their last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 5 times, with an average of 3.8 goals per match. They score 2.2 goals and concede 1.6 per game. Toulouse saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2. Lens is particularly prolific in the second half, with over 1.5 goals in 5 out of 5, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Toulouse also saw over 1.5 goals in the second half 2 out of 5 times, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Lens most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Toulouse scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%). Lens concedes most often between the 16th and 30th, 31st and 45th, 46th and 60th, and 61st and 75th minutes (25% each), while Toulouse concedes most frequently between the 16th and 30th minutes (30%). Given both teams' profiles, Lens's high scoring, and Toulouse's defensive instability, at least three goals are expected in this match. The main prediction is over 2.5 goals at 1.75.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In their last 5 matches, Lens averages 6.4 corners, Toulouse 3. In a series of five games, Lens surpassed 9.5 total corners 4 times, while Toulouse did not. The line closest to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.99, under 9.5 at 1.73. Lens is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.37. Considering Lens consistently wins a lot of corners and Toulouse rarely exceeds 3-4, it's logical to consider a bet on Lens's individual total corners over 5.5 or the overall total over 9.5. Additionally, Lens tends to earn many corners against defensively-oriented opponents.