Prediction for match Lille — Rennes, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the match between Lille and Rennes on January 3 in Ligue 1, bookmakers have Lille as the favorite. The odds for a Lille win are 1.93, a draw is offered at 3.80, and a Rennes victory is priced at 4.26. Looking at the probability distribution, Lille's chances are estimated at 51.00%, a draw at 25.90%, and Rennes' chances of winning at 23.10%. These figures confirm that Lille is perceived as the team most likely to take all three points. The gap between a draw and a Rennes win is quite noticeable, further emphasizing Lille's status in this matchup. Overall, the odds for the main outcomes reflect a moderate advantage for Lille, but a draw is not seen as unlikely.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lille has demonstrated an average possession of 54.6%, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 9.8 fouls, and been caught offside twice per game. Rennes averages 48.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In Lille's last three matches, the results were: Auxerre 3-4 Lille on December 14, Young Boys 1-0 Lille on December 11, and Lille 1-0 Marseille on December 5. Rennes played as follows in their last three matches: Rennes 3-1 Brest on December 13, PSG 5-0 Rennes on December 6, and Metz 0-1 Rennes on November 28. Looking at head-to-head encounters, the last game between these teams was on February 16, 2025, ending in a 2-0 win for Lille at Rennes' home. In the last five matches between these opponents, Lille won twice, there were two draws, and Lille was stronger once more.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Lille vs Rennes Match

In Lille's last five matches, the average number of goals per game is 2.8, while Rennes has an average of 3.2. Lille scores an average of 2 goals per match and concedes 0.8, while Rennes scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Lille had 2 out of 5 matches ending with more than 2.5 goals, and Rennes had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in Lille's matches and twice in Rennes'. In the second half, both teams played 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Lille most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (30%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (80%). Rennes most often scored between the 16th and 30th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each), and conceded at the end (76th-90th minutes, 50%). These statistics indicate both teams' tendency towards scoring, especially in the second half. Considering the average scoring rate, over 2.5 goals trend, and consistent scoring performances from both sides, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems logical. Supporting this option is the fact that both teams regularly score at least one goal in their last five matches, and Rennes' defense is not particularly reliable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lille averages 3 corners per match, while Rennes averages 5.4. In the last five matches, Lille had over 9.5 corners once, and Rennes did so four times. Looking at the odds, for the total corners of 9.5, both options are presented: over 9.5 is at 1.93, and under 9.5 is at 1.78. Lille is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.43. Considering Rennes consistently racks up corners and Lille is often modest in this aspect, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. In their last five matches, Rennes surpassed 9.5 corners four times, confirming a trend towards high activity in this component.