Prediction for match Liverpool — Brighton

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the FA Cup match between Liverpool and Brighton, scheduled for 14.02.2026, bookmakers are significantly favoring Liverpool. Liverpool's victory is priced at 1.54 with a probability of 60.87%. A draw is offered at 4.45 with a probability of 21.07%. Brighton's win is at 5.19, corresponding to an 18.06% chance. This reflects the difference in current form and performance of the teams, as well as their recent matches. Based on the odds, Liverpool is considered the clear favorite, while Brighton faces a tough challenge.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Liverpool secured two victories: 11.02.2026 Sunderland - Liverpool 0-1, 08.02.2026 Liverpool - Manchester City 1-2, 31.01.2026 Liverpool - Newcastle 4-1. Brighton's recent results are as follows: 11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton 1-0, 08.02.2026 Brighton - Crystal Palace 0-1, 31.01.2026 Brighton - Everton 1-1. Over the last five matches, Liverpool has an average possession of 56%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Brighton has 56.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 13.12.2025, Liverpool defeated Brighton 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Liverpool has shown a strong over-profile: over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 games, with an average of 4 goals per match. They score an average of 2.8 goals and concede 1.2. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 3 times, and in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Brighton's situation is the opposite: only 1 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals, with an average of 1.8 goals per match. They score 0.6 and concede 1.2. Brighton didn't have any matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only 2 out of 5 in the second half. Liverpool scores most frequently between the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (21% each), while Brighton scores mostly in the 76-90 minutes (60%). Liverpool concedes mostly in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 50%), while Brighton's conceded goals are spread across four intervals, each with 25%. This profile indicates Liverpool's high scoring ability and Brighton's low attacking activity. These combined data support a bet on Liverpool's individual total over 1.5 at 1.44, but the main prediction is both teams to score: yes at 1.53, as Liverpool is highly productive, and Brighton can score towards the end, as evidenced by their goal frequency in the last 15 minutes.

Corner Totals Analysis

Liverpool averages 9.6 corners per match, while Brighton averages 6. In the last five matches, Liverpool had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 games, and Brighton in 3 out of 5. The closest average total is 15.6, but the line offers Over/Under only up to 11.5. For a total of 9.5, both odds are available: over 9.5 at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.15. Liverpool is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.60. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the high corner counts of both teams and the frequency of matches exceeding this level.