Prediction for match Liverpool — Newcastle, 31.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League match between Liverpool and Newcastle on January 31, the bookmakers have identified Liverpool as the favorite. Liverpool's win is priced at 1.84, Newcastle's at 4.22, and a draw is at 4.26. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Liverpool - 53.53%, draw - 23.12%, Newcastle - 23.34%. This reflects confidence in Liverpool's strength, but Newcastle is not being underestimated, considering their past encounters and style of play. The line also offers options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for bets to suit different team playing styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Liverpool recorded the following results: January 28 - Liverpool vs Qarabag - 6-0, January 24 - Bournemouth vs Liverpool - 3-2, January 21 - Marseille vs Liverpool - 0-3. Newcastle played as follows: January 28 - PSG vs Newcastle - 1-1, January 25 - Newcastle vs Aston Villa - 0-2, January 21 - Newcastle vs PSV - 3-0. On average, over the last five matches, Liverpool has 62.6% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Newcastle shows 51% possession, 2 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 25, 2025, Newcastle lost to Liverpool 2-3.

Goal Scoring Streaks

Liverpool shows a pronounced scoring ability: over a five-match span, the average total goals per match is 4.2, with the team scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game and conceding 1. In 4 out of Liverpool's last 5 matches, the total went over 2.5, and 4 out of 5 saw more than 1.5 in the first and second halves. Newcastle, on the other hand, shows low scoring: average total goals - 1.8, scoring 0.8, conceding 1. In 4 out of 5 Newcastle matches, the total was under 2.5, with only one match going over 2.5. By halves, Newcastle has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. Liverpool most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Newcastle scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (60%). Liverpool concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (43%), Newcastle from 76 to 90 minutes (40%). This profile suggests a high likelihood of a productive match with a clear attacking edge for Liverpool, but considering Newcastle's low scoring, a bet on both teams to score: no at 2.28 seems logical. Newcastle rarely scores and lacks attacking consistency, while Liverpool consistently concedes no more than one goal per game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Liverpool averages 9.8 corners, Newcastle - 4.4. In 5 out of 5 Liverpool matches, the total corners exceeded 9.5, while for Newcastle, it was 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.49, under 9.5 at 2.44. For the outcome on corners, Liverpool is the favorite with odds of 1.46. Based on average figures and frequency of outcomes, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, especially considering Liverpool's flank activity and high possession percentage. Newcastle can also add a few set-pieces, increasing the chances of a high corner total.