Prediction for match Livingston — Falkirk, 04.02.2026

Match Analysis: Livingston vs Falkirk

In the Scottish Premiership on February 4, Livingston will face Falkirk. The odds for a Falkirk win are 2.19, for Livingston - 3.26, and for a draw - 3.30. The outcome probabilities are as follows: Falkirk has a 42.82% chance, Livingston - 28.76%, and a draw - 28.42%. Falkirk stands out as the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and probability distribution. Over/Under 2.5 goals options: Over 2.5 is at 1.98, Under 2.5 - 1.80. Both teams to score: Yes - 1.75, No - 1.97. Interestingly, Falkirk's individual total over 1.5 is at 2.19, while Livingston's over 1.5 is at 2.91.

Team Results and Statistics

Livingston lost their last three matches to Motherwell 0-2, Aberdeen 2-6, and drew with St Mirren 1-1. Falkirk lost to Celtic 0-2, beat Hibernian 4-1, and lost to Celtic 0-1 in their last three games. In their head-to-head match on November 8, 2025, Falkirk and Livingston drew 1-1. Additional stats over a five-match series: Livingston's ball possession is 48.4%, Falkirk's is 50.8%. Livingston averages 2.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Falkirk records 1.2 yellows, 8.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. For corners: Livingston earns 4.2, Falkirk - 5.4 per match. These figures show that Falkirk plays more carefully and controls the ball more often, while Livingston commits more fouls and breaks the rules more.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Livingston's last five matches, the average total goals is 3, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Falkirk's average total goals is 2.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. In a series of five games, both teams only once played over 2.5 total goals, while four times the total was under 2.5. By halves: Livingston had two of five matches over 1.5 in the first half, and also two of five in the second half. Falkirk had only one out of five matches over 1.5 in the first half and two out of five in the second half. Goal intervals: Livingston most often scores between the 31st-45th minutes (33%) and concedes between the 16th-30th minutes (33%). Falkirk most often scores in two intervals - 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (both 29%), and concedes most frequently at the start of the second half (46th-60th minutes, 50%). Overall, both teams are not inclined towards high-scoring matches, with under 2.5 total goals occurring in 4 out of 5 matches for each. Considering the average goal stats and total frequencies, it's logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 total goals at 1.80.

Corners Total Analysis

In the last five matches, Livingston averages 4.2 corners, Falkirk - 5.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams had three out of five matches with over 9.5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5. For this total: over 9.5 - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. Based on this data, around 9-10 corners can be expected in the match, with both teams having a frequency of over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. Falkirk earns corners slightly more often, but the difference is not critical. Based on corner statistics, it's logical to consider an option for over 9.5 corners if the odds are not less than 1.80.