Prediction for match Manchester City — Brentford

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on May 9, 2026, Manchester City will face Brentford. According to the main 1X2 odds, a win for Manchester City is priced at 1.39, a draw at 5.83, and a victory for Brentford at 7.44. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Manchester City 70.16%, Draw 16.73%, Brentford 13.11%. This setup reflects the bookmakers' confidence in Manchester City's strength, as they significantly surpass their opponent in both probability percentage and odds. Additionally, a wide range of totals, double chances, and individual totals are offered for the match, allowing for bets tailored to different playing styles.

Recent Match Performances

In their last three matches, Manchester City drew 3-3 with Everton (04.05.2026), defeated Southampton 2-1 (25.04.2026), and beat Burnley 1-0 (22.04.2026). Brentford, in their last three games, defeated West Ham 3-0 (02.05.2026), lost to Manchester United 1-2 (27.04.2026), and drew 0-0 with Fulham (18.04.2026). In their head-to-head on 17.12.2025, Manchester City was stronger than Brentford, winning 2-0. In additional metrics, Manchester City in a five-match series averages 67% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Brentford shows 49.8% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 7.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These stats highlight the difference in style and structure between the teams, with Manchester City favoring possession and a careful game, while Brentford takes a more pragmatic approach.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Manchester City in a five-match series averages 3.2 goals per match, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1. Brentford maintains an average of 2 goals scored and conceded in total per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. In the last five matches, Manchester City exceeded the total over 2.5 goals four times, Brentford three times. For second-half goals, Manchester City had three out of five games with over 1.5 goals, Brentford two out of five. In the first half, Manchester City exceeded the total over 1.5 only once in five, Brentford twice. In terms of goal intervals, Manchester City most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (43% each), while Brentford scores most often in the first 15 minutes (43%). In terms of conceding, Manchester City is most vulnerable at the end (76-90, 33%), Brentford also in the last 15 minutes (76-90, 67%). These figures suggest a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. Given the frequency of exceeding the total over 2.5 and Manchester City's average scoring, it's logical to consider a bet on total over 3.0 at 1.54.

Corner Bets

Manchester City averages 9.8 corners per match, Brentford 4.6. In a five-match series, Manchester City had all five matches with a total corners over 9.5, Brentford two out of five. For the total corners market, both outcomes are available for the 9.5 line: total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.55, under 9.5 at 2.29. For corner outcomes, Manchester City is the favorite with odds of 1.10. The statistics emphasize that Manchester City consistently creates many chances and takes more corners, so a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified. An individual total corners bet for Manchester City at 6.5 and above is also worth considering, given their average values and frequency.