Prediction for match Manchester United — Newcastle, 26.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The clash between Manchester United and Newcastle in the Premier League is scheduled for December 26, 2025. The odds for a Manchester United win are 2.59, for a Newcastle victory 2.75, and for a draw 3.76. Probability-wise, Manchester United is at 38.01%, Newcastle at 35.80%, and a draw at 26.18%. Among the main markets, the over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.70, while both teams to score: yes is at 1.51. Bookmakers expect a high-scoring match with a strong likelihood of goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Manchester United has an average possession of 59.6%, with 2 bookings, 11.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Newcastle holds the ball 55.8% of the time, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per match. In their last three games, Manchester United played as follows: 21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2-1, 15.12.2025 Manchester United - Bournemouth 4-4, 08.12.2025 Wolverhampton - Manchester United 1-4. Newcastle's last three games were: 20.12.2025 Newcastle - Chelsea 2-2, 17.12.2025 Newcastle - Fulham 2-1, 14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle 1-0. The last head-to-head between these teams was on 13.04.2025, ending in a 4-1 victory for Newcastle.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games in their last five matches. Manchester United's over 2.5 goals market hit 4 out of 5 times, and Newcastle's the same - 4 out of 5. On average, Manchester United scores 4.2 goals per game (2.4 scored, 1.8 conceded), while Newcastle averages 3 (1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded). In the first half, the over 1.5 goals market was hit 3 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Manchester United hit 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Newcastle 2 out of 5. Manchester United most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (44%) and concedes most between 46-60 minutes (33%). Newcastle scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes during the 46-75 minute intervals (33% in each of the two intervals). Considering both teams' recent high-scoring performances, over 2.5 goals markets, and supporting averages, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Manchester United averages 5.8 corners per game, Newcastle 6.4, totaling 12.2. In the last five matches, Manchester United surpassed over 9.5 corners three times, Newcastle four out of five. For the over 9.5 corners market, the odds are 1.54 for over and 2.25 for under. In the corner outcome market, Manchester United is favored with odds of 1.73. Given the recent game dynamics and average values, it's reasonable to consider over 9.5 corners, as both teams regularly exceed this mark.