Prediction for match Marseille — Auxerre

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1, Marseille will face Auxerre on March 13. The odds suggest a significant advantage for Marseille: a win for the team is priced at 1.50, a draw at 4.88, and a win for Auxerre at 7.06. The probability distribution is as follows: Marseille - 65.80%, draw - 20.22%, Auxerre - 13.98%. The line for the total goals is quite intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.77, and both teams to score is at 1.85. Options for individual totals and double chance are also available, but bookmakers mainly focus on a Marseille win and a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Marseille had the following results: on March 7, Toulouse 0-1 Marseille, on March 4, Marseille 5-6 Toulouse, and on March 1, Marseille 3-2 Lyon. During the same period, Auxerre played as follows: on March 7, Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg, on March 1, Lorient 2-2 Auxerre, and on February 22, Auxerre 0-3 Rennes. In a five-match series, Marseille shows average stats: possession 55.4%, 3.2 goals per game, 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, 4.6 corners, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, 1 offside. Auxerre has 41.6% possession, 2.2 goals per match, 1 scored and 1.2 conceded, 5.2 corners, 2 yellows, 11.4 fouls, 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Auxerre lost to Marseille 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Marseille vs Auxerre Match

In the last five matches of Marseille, over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and for Auxerre, it was also 3 out of 5 over 2.5. By halves, Marseille had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times, and in the first half 2 times. Auxerre had over 1.5 in the second half only once, and in the first half 2 times. The average goal count in Marseille's matches is 3.2, and for Auxerre, it's 2.2. Scored goals: Marseille - 1.6, Auxerre - 1. Conceded goals: Marseille - 1.6, Auxerre - 1.2. Marseille most often scores in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each), Auxerre in the 16-30 minute interval (67%). For conceded goals, Marseille's most dangerous period is 76-90 minutes (38%), and for Auxerre, it's 16-30 minutes (38%). Overall, both teams tend to have high-scoring matches, and Marseille consistently scores more than one goal per game. Thus, over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice, considering the frequency and average goal stats.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Marseille averages 4.6 corners per match, Auxerre - 5.2. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 was recorded twice for both teams. Looking at the odds, total corners over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.76. Marseille is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.32. In this situation, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners around 9.5 and also on Marseille's advantage in the number of corners. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly receive yellow cards: Marseille averages 3.2, Auxerre - 2 per game. This could add dynamics and increase the number of set-pieces, including corners.