Prediction for match Marseille — Metz

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On April 10, 2026, Marseille will face Metz in Ligue 1. Bookmakers have set odds for a Marseille victory at 1.29, a draw at 6.45, and a Metz win at 11.60. The probability percentages are: Marseille - 76.27%, Draw - 15.25%, Metz - 8.48%. The odds for the total goals over 2.75 is 1.51, indicating high expectations for a goal-rich match. Both teams to score is priced at 1.85, while the "no" option is at 1.87. For individual team totals: Marseille over 2 goals is at 1.46, Metz over 0.5 goals is at 1.74. First half outcomes: Marseille win - 1.64, Draw - 2.82, Metz - 8.10. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.05, 12 at 1.15, and X2 at 3.98.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Marseille's results were: April 5, 2026 - Monaco vs Marseille - 2-1, March 22, 2026 - Marseille vs Lille - 1-2, March 13, 2026 - Marseille vs Auxerre - 1-0. Metz's results in the same period: April 5, 2026 - Metz vs Nantes - 0-0, March 22, 2026 - Rennes vs Metz - 0-0, March 15, 2026 - Metz vs Toulouse - 3-4. Over their last five matches, Marseille averages 55.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Metz averages 52.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. The last head-to-head meeting was on October 4, 2025: Metz - Marseille - 0-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Marseille vs Metz Match

In their last five matches, Marseille has an average total of 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. Metz has an average total of 2.2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Marseille has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games, while Metz has seen it in 2 of their 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen once in 5 games for both teams, while in the second half, Marseille saw it 3 times and Metz 2 times out of 5. Marseille most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Metz scores between the 31st and 45th and the 46th and 60th minutes (33% each). For goals conceded: Marseille - between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each), Metz - between the 0 and 15th minutes (40%). This goal distribution and frequency of over 2.5 and 2.75 total goals suggest a match with a focus on scoring, especially in the second half. Considering Marseille's steady scoring rate and Metz's defensive struggles, betting on total goals over 2.75 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Marseille averages 6.2 corners per game over their last five matches, while Metz averages 5.6. Both teams have seen over 9.5 total corners in 3 of their last 5 games. The total corners line closest to their combined average (11.8) is 11.5: odds for over 11.5 are 3.20, and under 1.26. Marseille is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.09. Given the average activity of both teams and frequent over 9.5 total corners, considering bets on over 9.5 or 11.5 total corners, as well as Marseille's advantage in corner count, makes sense.