Prediction for match Auxerre — Nantes

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the French Ligue 1 on 11.04.2026, Auxerre will face Nantes. The odds for the outcomes are distributed as follows: a win for Auxerre is priced at 2.10, a draw at 3.40, and a win for Nantes at 4.07. According to the probabilities calculated by the bookmakers, Auxerre has a 46.87% chance of winning, a draw is estimated at 28.95%, and Nantes has a 24.18% chance. Thus, Auxerre is considered the favorite, but Nantes also has some chances for a positive result. There are other markets available, but the favorite for the outcome is quite clearly defined.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Auxerre shows an average ball possession of 42.2%, receives an average of 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Nantes lags behind in these metrics: 35.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Auxerre played as follows: 05.04.2026 - Le Havre vs Auxerre - 1-1, 21.03.2026 - Auxerre vs Brest - 3-0, 13.03.2026 - Marseille vs Auxerre - 1-0. Nantes' last three games were: 05.04.2026 - Metz vs Nantes - 0-0, 22.03.2026 - Nantes vs Strasbourg - 2-3, 07.03.2026 - Nantes vs Angers - 0-1. The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on 30.08.2025, ending with a 1-0 victory for Nantes.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Auxerre vs Nantes Match

In the last five matches, Auxerre has an average of 2 goals per game, while Nantes has 1.8. In terms of goals scored: Auxerre - 1.2, Nantes - 0.8; in terms of goals conceded: Auxerre - 0.8, Nantes - 1. The over 2.5 goals bet hit for Auxerre 2 times out of 5, and for Nantes only 1 time out of 5. For over 1.5 goals: Auxerre had 4 out of 5 matches with at least two goals, Nantes had 3 out of 5. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for both teams, and in the second half, only once each. Auxerre most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (57%), while Nantes scores most often in the first 15 minutes (40%). Auxerre concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (67%), and Nantes in the final minutes, from the 76th to 90th (50%). Considering Nantes' low scoring and Auxerre's not very high average goals, as well as the prevalence of under 2.5 goals (both teams 3 out of 5 under), a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Auxerre earns an average of 5 corners per game, while Nantes has 3. In a series of five matches, the total corners over 9.5 hit for Auxerre 2 times, for Nantes 1 time. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the average figures (8) is 8.5. Both outcomes are available for it: total corners over 8.5 - 1.54, under 8.5 - 2.31. For the corner outcome, Auxerre is the favorite with odds of 1.47. Overall, considering the average values and frequencies, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, although there is no significant skew towards an over-profile on corners.