Prediction for match Metz — Monaco

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

In the French Ligue 1 on May 2, 2026, Metz will face Monaco. The odds clearly favor Monaco, with their victory priced at 1.45, corresponding to a 67.78% probability. A draw is set at 5.43 (18.10%), while a Metz win is at 6.96 (14.12%). This reflects the difference in current form and performance of the teams, as well as their recent head-to-head statistics. The betting line also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for optimal bets based on recent trends.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Metz has an average possession of 49.6%, receives 2 cautions, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Monaco averages 55.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is also caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Metz played as follows: 26.04.2026 - Le Havre vs Metz 4-4, 19.04.2026 - Metz vs Paris FC 1-3, 10.04.2026 - Marseille vs Metz 3-1. Monaco's last three results are: 25.04.2026 - Toulouse vs Monaco 2-2, 19.04.2026 - Monaco vs Auxerre 2-2, 10.04.2026 - Paris FC vs Monaco 4-1. Their last head-to-head encounter was on 21.09.2025, with Monaco defeating Metz 5-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Metz has an average total of 3.2 goals, while Monaco has 3.8. Metz scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 2, while Monaco scores 1.8 and also concedes 2. For over 2.5 goals: 3 out of 5 Metz games ended with three or more goals, while all 5 Monaco games did. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Metz and three times for Monaco, while in the second half, Metz went over 1.5 goals in 3 matches, Monaco in 4. Goal intervals show Metz most often scores in the first 15 minutes (38%), while Monaco scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (27% each). Goals conceded: Metz most often concedes between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), Monaco in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (25% each). Given both teams' profiles with regular over 2.5 goals, high goal averages, and second-half activity, betting on over 3.0 goals at 1.54 seems optimal for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Metz averages 4.4 corners per game, while Monaco averages 5.4. Over the last five matches, Metz's games went over 9.5 corners 4 times, Monaco's 2 times. Comparing with the line, for a total of 9.5 corners, both options are available: over 9.5 at 1.88, under 9.5 at 1.82. For corners outcome, Monaco is favored at 1.53. Considering both teams' averages and the frequency of going over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, with Monaco having an advantage in corner kicks.