Prediction for match Nice — Lens

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On May 2nd in Ligue 1, Nice will face Lens. The odds for a Lens victory are 1.81, for a draw - 4.27, and for a Nice win - 4.37. Based on statistical probability, Lens is given a 54.40% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.06%, and Nice at 22.53%. Lens is the favorite according to both odds and probabilities, which is also supported by the recent form of both teams. The odds for over 2.5 total goals are 1.52, and for both teams to score - 1.53, indicating a high expectation of goals in this match. The odds for a draw at 4.27 reflect the difference in current form between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nice has an average possession of 38.4%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Lens outperforms in these statistics with 61.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Nice's last three games were: April 26th - Marseille vs Nice 1-1, April 22nd - Strasbourg vs Nice 0-2, April 18th - Lille vs Nice 0-0. Lens' last three games were: April 24th - Brest vs Lens 3-3, April 21st - Lens vs Toulouse 4-1, April 17th - Lens vs Toulouse 3-2. In their head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Lens defeated Nice 2-0. These results highlight Lens' attacking potential and Nice's more conservative style.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Nice had only 1 out of 5 games with over 2.5 total goals, while 4 were under. Lens shows the opposite trend with 5 out of 5 games over 2.5. In terms of halves, Nice had 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Lens had 4 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves. The average number of goals in Nice's matches is 2, while for Lens it's 5. Nice scores an average of 1 goal per game, while Lens scores 3. Nice concedes an average of 1 goal, while Lens concedes 2. Nice most frequently scores between the 31st-45th minutes (40%), while Lens scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (22% each). Nice concedes most often between the 76th-90th minutes (60%), and Lens between the 0-15th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). All this points to Lens' clear over-profile and a high likelihood of a high-scoring game. A bet on both teams to score: Yes is at 1.53 and seems logical, considering Lens' consistent scoring and conceding, and Nice's potential to score at least once.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Nice averages 5.4 corners per match, while Lens averages 7.2. In their last five games, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.6) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.08, under 11.5 at 1.28. Lens is favored in corner outcomes, with their victory priced at 1.64. Both teams are capable of earning many corners, especially Lens, making a bet on over 11.5 corners appealing for risk-takers. Overall, expect active play around the goals and many crosses, especially from Lens.