Prediction for match Mazatlán — Cruz Azul

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX, Mazatlán faces Cruz Azul on 21.03.2026. The odds favor Cruz Azul as the clear favorite: their victory is at 1.51, a draw is at 4.33, and a win for Mazatlán is at 5.54. In terms of probability: Cruz Azul - 61.68%, draw - 21.51%, Mazatlán - 16.81%. This is due to Cruz Azul's more consistent recent performances and their superior attacking metrics. The betting line also offers options for totals and both teams to score, but the main focus is on Cruz Azul's advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mazatlán holds an average possession of 37.2%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Cruz Azul shows stronger stats: 53.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Mazatlán: 16.03.2026 - Club América - Mazatlán 2-0, 07.03.2026 - Mazatlán - León 4-2, 04.03.2026 - Atlético San Luis - Mazatlán 4-1. For Cruz Azul: 18.03.2026 - Cruz Azul - Monterrey 1-1, 15.03.2026 - UNAM Pumas - Cruz Azul 2-2, 11.03.2026 - Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2-3. Their last head-to-head was on 13.07.2025: Cruz Azul - Mazatlán 0-0. Overall, Cruz Azul demonstrates better organization and more ball control, which reflects in their results.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Mazatlán averages 3.2 goals per game, while Cruz Azul averages 3.4. Mazatlán scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8, whereas Cruz Azul scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Mazatlán has 2 out of 5, Cruz Azul 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Mazatlán had 2, Cruz Azul 4 out of 5. Mazatlán most often scores between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (23% each), while Cruz Azul scores mostly between 61-75 minutes (33%). Mazatlán concedes most in the second half: intervals 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 at 25% each. Cruz Azul concedes 38% of their goals between 76-90 minutes. The stats suggest both teams are prone to high-scoring games, especially Cruz Azul, as shown by their average goal count and frequent over 2.5 totals. Given this data, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.57 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For average corners over 5 games: Mazatlán - 3.4, Cruz Azul - 6.0. For over 9.5 corners: Mazatlán 4 out of 5, Cruz Azul 2 out of 5. The closest line to the average total (9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.81. Cruz Azul is the favorite for corners with odds at 1.42. Recently, Cruz Azul consistently delivers more corners, and Mazatlán often trails in this aspect. Considering Cruz Azul's attacking style and Mazatlán's frequent over totals, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical.