Prediction for match Mazatlán — Leon

Match Analysis: Mazatlán vs Leon

In Liga MX, Mazatlán will face Leon on March 7, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Leon is favored to win with odds of 2.34, while Mazatlán's victory is at 2.91, and a draw is priced at 3.32. The probability distribution is: Mazatlán - 32.05%, draw - 28.09%, Leon - 39.86%. Leon appears to be the preferred choice based on odds and percentages, but the gap isn't huge, indicating a potentially competitive match. The betting options also include totals, both teams to score, and individual player stats, offering the chance to find an interesting bet with odds over 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mazatlán has averaged 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.6, with 2.8 corners, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides, while maintaining 39.8% possession. In the same period, Leon has scored 1 goal and conceded 1.4, leading in corners with 5.6, yellow cards with 3, fouls with 13.6, and offsides with 1.4, and holding 52.8% possession. Mazatlán's last three matches: March 4, 2026, Atletico San Luis 4-1 Mazatlán, February 28, 2026, Mazatlán 1-0 Pachuca, February 22, 2026, Tijuana 1-1 Mazatlán. Leon's recent games: March 1, 2026, Leon 2-1 Necaxa, February 22, 2026, Leon 2-1 Santos Laguna, February 15, 2026, Monterrey 1-0 Leon. In their head-to-head on September 24, 2025, Leon and Mazatlán drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Mazatlán has an average total goals of 2.8, while Leon's is 2.4. During this period, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored twice for both teams, while in the second half, Mazatlán had it once and Leon twice. Mazatlán scores most frequently between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%) and concedes in the same period (33%). Leon scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%) and concedes between the 31st and 60th minutes (50% in each interval). Both teams show a tendency for matches with two or more goals, and both have an average of over 1 goal scored, supporting the bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes." The odds for this are 1.63, making it an attractive option for the prediction. The fact that the teams have regularly exchanged goals in head-to-head matches, and both are scoring at least one goal in most of their recent games, further supports this bet.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five games, Mazatlán averaged 2.8 corners, while Leon averaged 5.6, totaling 8.4. In 3 out of 5 matches for both teams, the total corners exceeded 9.5. Among the corner totals, the closest option to the average is 8.5, with both outcomes available: over 8.5 is at 1.41, under 8.5 at 2.56. Leon is favored on corners with odds of 2.05. Given Leon's consistent corner performance, it makes sense to consider a bet on their advantage in this area or on a total over 8.5. Both teams tend to have frequent corners, especially in matches against evenly matched opponents, which further supports the over 8.5 total option.