Prediction for match Melbourne City — Sydney, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Melbourne City and Sydney in the A-League will take place on January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Melbourne City is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.26, Sydney's win is offered at 3.29, and a draw is valued at 3.46. In terms of probability percentages, the distribution is as follows: Melbourne City - 42.73%, draw - 27.91%, Sydney - 29.35%. Based on these figures, Melbourne City holds a certain advantage, but the gap isn't overwhelming, promising a competitive clash between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Melbourne City has an average possession of 56.4%, records 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. During the same period, Sydney maintains 52.6% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. In the last three matches, Melbourne City's results were: December 28, 2025 - Melbourne City vs Perth Glory - 1-3, December 23, 2025 - Melbourne City vs Macarthur - 1-1, December 20, 2025 - Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - 0-1. Sydney played as follows: December 20, 2025 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney - 2-0, December 13, 2025 - Perth Glory vs Sydney - 0-1, December 6, 2025 - Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney - 1-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on May 3, 2025: Melbourne City vs Sydney - 5-1.

Which Total to Bet On?

The average number of goals in the last 5 games for both teams is exactly 2, with Melbourne City scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2, while Sydney scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8. Regarding the over 2.5 goals market: only 1 out of 5 matches for Melbourne City went over, while Sydney had 2 out of 5. By halves, Melbourne City had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second, while Sydney had 1 out of 5 in the first and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Melbourne City most frequently scores in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), and Sydney scores from 46 to 90 minutes (29% in each of the three 15-minute segments). For goals conceded, Melbourne City is notable in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Sydney stands out in the 0-30 and 61-75 (33% each). Overall, both teams' profiles lean towards the under: average total goals don't exceed 2, over 2.5 hits are rare, and there is no significant activity by halves. This supports a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Melbourne City averages 6.2 corners per game, while Sydney averages 4.2. In a five-match series, 4 out of 5 matches for Melbourne City went over 9.5 corners, and for Sydney, 3 out of 5. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.87. For corner outcome, Melbourne City is favored with odds of 1.68. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the regular hits of this line by both teams. Additionally, a bet on Melbourne City to win on corners is worth considering given their average.