Prediction for match Metz — Montpellier, 11.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Coupe de France on January 11, Metz will face Montpellier. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Metz is at 1.93, a draw at 3.50, and a win for Montpellier at 3.70. The probability of Metz winning is 48.24%, a draw is 26.60%, and Montpellier winning is 25.16%. These figures indicate a moderate advantage for Metz, but the gap between the teams isn't too large, suggesting a competitive match. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, but the bet on Metz's victory stands out as the main choice based on the overall arguments and odds.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Metz has averaged 53.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Montpellier also has 53.6% possession, but averages 2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Metz's last three matches: 04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1-1, 20.12.2025 Biesheim - Metz 0-3, 13.12.2025 Metz - PSG 2-3. Montpellier's: 05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkirk 1-3, 13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1-1, 06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0-1. In their last head-to-head on 18.02.2024, Montpellier defeated Metz 3-0.

Totals Statistics

In terms of scoring, Metz significantly outperforms Montpellier: over 5 matches, Metz has an average total of 3 goals, while Montpellier has 2. Metz scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6, whereas Montpellier scores 0.6 and concedes 1.4. Metz has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches, while Montpellier only 1 of 5. In the first half, Metz exceeded 1.5 goals twice, while Montpellier never did. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches. Goal intervals: Metz most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), Montpellier between 76-90 minutes (60%). Metz concedes most often at the end of the first half (31-45, 33%), Montpellier between 61-75 minutes (40%). These stats confirm that Metz consistently plays more effectively and often succeeds in attack, while Montpellier struggles with finishing chances. Considering the goal difference and frequency of over 2.5 goals, along with Metz's higher scoring rate, a bet on Metz's victory seems the most logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Metz averages 4.2 corners per match, while Montpellier averages 7.2. In the last 5 matches, Metz hasn't exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, while Montpellier has done so in 3 of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is at 2.75, under 11.5 at 1.26. Metz is the favorite on corners at 1.77. Given that Montpellier regularly wins many corners, and Metz is less active, it makes sense to consider the over 11.5 option, although the odds for under are significantly lower. Overall, the match could be rich in corners, especially from Montpellier, as their average statistics suggest.