Prediction for match Metz — PSG, 13.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

The Ligue 1 clash between Metz and PSG is scheduled for December 13. According to bookmakers, PSG is the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.29, a draw at 6.45, and a Metz victory at 11.60. In terms of probabilities, the chances are distributed as follows: Metz - 8.48%, draw - 15.25%, PSG - 76.27%. These odds and probabilities reflect a significant difference in class and current form between the teams. The double chance options of 1.06 for X2 and 1.15 for 12 confirm that bookmakers do not believe in Metz's success. The goal total options also lean towards high scoring: over 3.0 is at 1.50, and over 3.25 is at 1.69. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.71, no - 2.04. The individual totals further indicate PSG's advantage: PSG's over 2.5 goals is at 1.77, while Metz's over 1 goal is at 2.95. For the first half outcome, PSG is at 1.63, a draw at 2.82, and Metz at 8.40. Exact score options include: 0:2 - 8.00, 0:3 - 8.50, 1:2 - 8.50, 1:3 - 9.00, 0:1 - 10.00, 1:1 - 12.00.

Team Recent Matches Overview

In their last five matches, Metz has an average possession of 50.8%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. PSG looks more confident in these metrics: 65.4% possession, only 0.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Metz lost to Auxerre 1-3 (07.12), lost to Rennes 0-1 (28.11), and lost to Brest 2-3 (23.11). PSG drew with Athletic Bilbao 0-0 (10.12), thrashed Rennes 5-0 (06.12), and lost to Monaco 0-1 (29.11). The last head-to-head meeting was on May 19, 2024, with PSG winning 2-0 at Metz's ground. Previous matches also showed PSG's dominance: 3-1, 5-0, 2-1, 3-1.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Metz averaged 3 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. PSG's figures are even higher: 3.4 goals on average, scoring 2.6 and conceding only 0.8. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Metz had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and in the second half 3 times out of 5. PSG similarly had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times and in the second half 3 times out of 5. Metz most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (44%) and concedes in the same interval (43%). PSG most often scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), and concedes evenly in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). Considering both teams' over-profile on totals, PSG's high scoring ability, and frequent over 2.5 goals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.50. This line is supported by both the frequency of outcomes and average goal stats and second-half activity.

Corners Totals Analysis

Metz averages 4.4 corners per match, PSG 5.8, totaling 10.2. In their last five matches, Metz had over 9.5 corners once, PSG four times. For a corners total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under 9.5 is also at 1.85. In terms of corner outcomes, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.16. It's logical to expect PSG to dominate possession and create chances, leading to high corner activity. Meanwhile, Metz can also earn 4-5 corners. Individual corners totals options: Metz's line for over 2.5 is at 1.72, PSG's over 5.5 is at 1.50. Overall, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' average figures and PSG's frequency of outcomes.