Prediction for match Middlesbrough — Southampton

Match Preview

In the English Championship on May 9, Middlesbrough will face Southampton. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: Middlesbrough win at 2.33, draw at 3.38, and Southampton win at 3.30. The probabilities are: Middlesbrough 41.75%, draw 28.78%, Southampton 29.48%. A Middlesbrough victory is considered the most likely outcome, but the difference in chances between the teams is not very large. In the goals total market, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.06 and under 2.5 goals are 1.78, with both teams to score: yes at 1.79, no at 1.94.

Team Recent Matches Overview

In their last five matches, Middlesbrough had an average possession of 57.8%, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Southampton showed 49% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Middlesbrough's last three games were: May 2 - Wrexham 2-2 Middlesbrough, April 25 - Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford, April 22 - Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday. Southampton's last three games were: May 2 - Preston North End 1-3 Southampton, April 28 - Southampton 2-2 Ipswich Town, April 25 - Manchester City 2-1 Southampton. The last head-to-head match was on January 4, 2026: Middlesbrough 4-0 Southampton.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Middlesbrough vs Southampton

In the last five matches, Middlesbrough had the over 2.5 goals occur three times, and under twice. For Southampton, all five games ended with over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough has an average total goals of 3.2, while Southampton's is 3.6. Both teams score an average of 2 goals per game, with Middlesbrough conceding 1.2 and Southampton 1.6. By halves, Middlesbrough had over 1.5 goals in the first half in three out of five matches, while Southampton only once. In the second half, Middlesbrough went over 1.5 twice, and Southampton all five times. By goal intervals: Middlesbrough frequently scores in each of the three segments of the first half and in the end (76-90 minutes at 20%), while Southampton scores 38% of their goals in the 76-90 minute interval. Middlesbrough's conceded goals are evenly distributed across all intervals (17% each), while Southampton concedes 40% of goals in the end. This suggests high scoring potential for both teams and supports the over 2.5 goals bet at 2.06.

Corner Totals Analysis

Middlesbrough averages 7 corners per match, while Southampton averages 6.2. In the last five games, Middlesbrough had the over 9.5 corners twice, while Southampton had it four times. The closest sum to the average total is 13.2, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.53, under 9.5 at 2.30. Middlesbrough is the favorite in the corners outcome with odds of 1.64. An active game on the flanks and a large number of set-pieces are expected, making the over 9.5 corners bet interesting to consider.