Prediction for match Mirassol — Flamengo, 06.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A, Mirassol will face Flamengo on December 6th. The odds for a Mirassol victory are 1.36, a draw is at 4.94, and a win for Flamengo is priced at 9.45. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Mirassol - 70.46%, draw - 19.40%, Flamengo - 10.14%. The clear advantage in odds and probabilities is in favor of Mirassol, reflecting the bookmakers' confidence in their success. The line also includes markets for totals, both teams to score, and individual performance metrics, allowing for a tailored bet to match the playing style of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirassol defeated Vasco da Gama 2-0 (12/02), lost to Vitoria 0-2 (11/29), thrashed Ceara 3-0 (11/24), won against Palmeiras 2-1 (11/09), and lost to Fluminense 0-1 (11/06). Flamengo, in the same period, beat Ceara 1-0 (12/04), overcame Palmeiras 1-0 (11/29), drew with Atletico Mineiro 1-1 (11/26), confidently dispatched RB Bragantino 3-0 (11/23), and crushed Sport Recife 5-1 (11/15). In their head-to-head on August 9th, Flamengo was stronger than Mirassol with a score of 2-1. In additional metrics, Mirassol controlled possession for 57.2% of the time on average over 5 games, made 2.6 warnings, recorded 11.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Flamengo stands out with 66.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Mirassol's scoring rate in the five-match series is 2.2 goals per game, while Flamengo's is higher at 2.6. Mirassol scores 1.4 and Flamengo 2.2, while conceding 0.8 and 0.4 respectively. In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. By halves, Mirassol had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, Flamengo once; in the second halves, Mirassol recorded over 1.5 goals only once, Flamengo twice. In goal intervals, Mirassol most often scores evenly across the first half and at the end (0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 76-90 - 25% each) and concedes most frequently from the 16th to 30th, 61st to 75th, and 76th to 90th minutes (33% each). Flamengo scores with peaks at the end of the first half and mid-second (31-45 and 61-75 - 33% each), and concedes mainly from the 61st to 75th minute (57%). Given the average scoring of both teams, their attacking metrics, and the frequency of over 2.5 total goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.79 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Mirassol averages 5.4 corners per game, Flamengo 6.8, totaling 12.2. In 5 matches, Mirassol exceeded the 9.5 corners total four times, Flamengo three times. For the corners totals line, one might consider over 9.5 at 1.50, while under 9.5 is at 2.31. In the outcome of corners, Mirassol is favored with odds of 1.33. Considering the average activity of both teams in corner kicks, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, and individual corner totals for both sides can also be considered.