Prediction for match Mirassol — Fluminense

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on May 23, 2026, Mirassol will face Fluminense. The odds for a win are almost equal: Mirassol is at 2.78, Fluminense at 2.73, and a draw is priced at 3.17. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 34.54% for Mirassol, 35.17% for Fluminense, and 30.29% for a draw. This reflects a balance of power with no clear favorite, as both teams have nearly equal chances of success. The goal total lines are also widely available, but the main interest is in the over 2.0 line at 1.61 and over 2.5 at 2.23, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring game. Both teams to score is set at identical odds of 1.85 for both 'yes' and 'no', confirming uncertainty in goal predictions from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In additional metrics, Mirassol averages 51% possession in their last five matches, with 1 yellow card, 9 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Fluminense shows a higher possession rate of 61.2% but receives 3.4 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Mirassol played: Always Ready 1-2 Mirassol on 20.05.2026, Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol on 16.05.2026, Mirassol 2-1 RB Bragantino on 13.05.2026. Fluminense's results were: Fluminense 2-1 Bolivar on 19.05.2026, Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo on 16.05.2026, Fluminense 2-1 Operario on 13.05.2026. Their last head-to-head was on 06.11.2025: Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol. Both teams show consistent performance in additional statistical parameters over a five-match series, which could influence the game's nature.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Mirassol's scoring in the last five games: an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Fluminense's numbers are even higher: 3 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Mirassol has exceeded the 2.5 goal total in 3 out of 5, Fluminense in 4 out of 5. By halves, Mirassol has over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times and in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Fluminense has over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times and the same in the second half. For goal intervals: Mirassol often scores between the 61st and 75th minute (56%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th (40%) and 76th and 90th (40%). Fluminense is most prolific between the 31st and 45th minute (30%) and concedes most frequently at the end (76-90 minutes, 50%). All this indicates a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, where both teams are capable of scoring at least one goal, and the total goals could easily exceed 2. This is supported by both teams' consistent scoring over time, as well as halftime and total over performances. The main prediction is a total over 2.0 at 1.61, which seems the optimal choice given the current figures.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Mirassol averages 5.2 corners, Fluminense 4.2. For total corners over 9.5, Mirassol has only 1 out of 5, and Fluminense has none over 9.5. Looking at the odds, for the 9.5 total, there's a pair: over 9.5 is at 1.70, under 9.5 at 2.01. Combined, the teams average 9.4 corners per game, which is close to this line. For corner outcomes, Mirassol is at 1.95, Fluminense at 2.11, and a draw at 8.40. It's logical to consider cautious bets on under 9.5 corners, given the low frequency of overs in both teams' recent matches. It's also worth noting that Mirassol takes more corners, which could impact the distribution of set pieces.