Prediction for match Mirassol — Vasco da Gama, 30.01.2026

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama

In Brazil's Serie A, Mirassol and Vasco da Gama will face off on January 29. The odds are set as follows: Mirassol to win at 1.87, a draw at 3.52, and Vasco da Gama to win at 4.46. The probability of outcomes are: Mirassol - 51.27%, draw - 27.24%, Vasco da Gama - 21.50%. This suggests that Mirassol is seen as the more likely winner, but the odds are not overwhelmingly in their favor, leaving room for competition. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.92, and the same for under 2.5 goals, while both teams to score: yes is at 1.76, no at 1.96. This indicates expectations of a potentially high-scoring game, but with some caution in the assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirassol has an average possession of 58.2%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.2 fouls, and gets caught offside 1.6 times per game. Vasco da Gama's stats are: 55% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Mirassol's last three matches: January 24, 2026, São Bernardo 0-4 Mirassol, January 21, 2026, Mirassol 0-0 RB Bragantino, January 14, 2026, Primavera SP 3-1 Mirassol. Vasco da Gama's last three matches: January 25, 2026, Boavista SC 0-3 Vasco da Gama, January 22, 2026, Flamengo 1-0 Vasco da Gama, January 16, 2026, Vasco da Gama 4-2 CFRJ / Marica. In their head-to-head on December 2, 2025, Vasco da Gama lost to Mirassol 0-2.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama

Over the last five matches, Mirassol has an average total of 3.2 goals per game, while Vasco da Gama has 2.6. Mirassol scores an average of 2 goals per match and concedes 1.2, Vasco da Gama scores 1.6 and concedes 1. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 games. By halves, Mirassol has had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the second half and the same in the first, while Vasco da Gama has had over 1.5 in each half in 2 out of 5 games. Mirassol most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (33%), and Vasco da Gama between 46-60 minutes (33%). For goals conceded: Mirassol most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (30%), Vasco da Gama between 61-75 minutes (57%). This profile of both teams, with regular occurrences of over 2.5 goals and decent scoring, supports a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.92.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last 5 matches, Mirassol averages 2.2 corners, and Vasco da Gama averages 2.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Mirassol has had 2 out of 5 matches with 10 or more corners, while Vasco da Gama has had only 1 out of 5. The line for total corners offers over 4.5 at 1.08 and under 4.5 at 5.50, but the average corner stats for both teams do not reach high values. It makes sense to consider cautious options for corner totals, and also note Mirassol's low individual corner stats. Overall, the match does not promise a large number of corners, and a bet on a low total for corners seems justified.