Prediction for match Modena — Mantova

Who is the favorite in the Modena vs Mantova match?

On March 21st, in Serie B, Modena will face Mantova. According to 1X2 odds, Modena is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.68, a draw at 3.74, and a win for Mantova at 4.89. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Modena - 55.78%, draw - 25.06%, Mantova - 19.16%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.92, and for under - 1.85. Both teams to score: yes and no are both at 1.85. The double chance X2 is at 2.14, and Modena to win the first half is at 2.23. For individual totals: Modena over 1.5 goals is at 1.83, Mantova over 0.5 goals is at 1.57. The lowest odds for the exact score are 1-0 (6.50), 1-1 (7.00), and 2-0 (7.50).

Team results and statistics

In their last three matches, Modena played as follows: March 13, 2026 - Modena vs Spezia - 3:0, March 7, 2026 - Modena vs Cesena - 0:0, March 3, 2026 - Virtus Entella vs Modena - 2:1. Mantova in the same period: March 17, 2026 - Mantova vs Cesena - 3:0, March 14, 2026 - Empoli vs Mantova - 2:2, March 8, 2026 - Mantova vs Juve Stabia - 2:0. In their head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Mantova lost to Modena 1-3. Over a five-match series, Modena's average possession is 48.2%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Mantova holds 48.8% possession, receives 2.4 yellows, commits 17.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per match.

How many goals will be in the Modena vs Mantova match?

In their last five matches, Modena's games went over 2.5 goals 4 times, under once. For Mantova, over 2.5 occurred in 3 games, under in 2. By halves, Modena had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, in the second half 2 times out of 5. Mantova similarly: over 1.5 in the first half 3 times, in the second half 3 times. Modena's average total goals are 2.4, Mantova's are 2.8. Modena scores 1.4 and concedes 1 per match, while Mantova scores 1.8 and concedes 1. By intervals: Modena most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (38%), and concedes in the first 15 minutes (60%). Mantova scores most frequently in two intervals - 0-15 and 76-90 (27% each), and concedes evenly in four intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). Considering both teams regularly play over 2.5 total goals and have decent scoring stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems logical.

Analysis of corner totals

Modena averages 4.8 corners per match, Mantova 4.6. In the last 5 games, Modena's corner total over 9.5 occurred once, under 4 times. Mantova's over 9.5 happened 3 times, under 2. The line for total corners closest to the average figures is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.00, under is at 1.73. For individual totals: Modena under 5.5 is at 1.73, over 5.5 is at 2.00; Mantova under 3.5 is at 1.73, over 3.5 is at 2.00. On average, both teams deliver just under 10 corners together, so betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered, given their average values.