Prediction for match Modena — Spezia

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie B on March 13, 2026, Modena will face Spezia. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Modena is at 1.70, a draw is at 3.64, and a victory for Spezia is at 4.89. The probabilities for this match are distributed as follows: Modena - 55.11%, draw - 25.74%, Spezia - 19.16%. Based on these figures, Modena is considered the favorite, but a draw also has a significant probability, which could influence the nature of the game.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Modena has an average possession of 49.8%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Spezia has higher possession at 52.8%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Looking at Modena's last three matches: 07.03.2026 - Modena vs Cesena - 0-0, 03.03.2026 - Virtus Entella vs Modena - 2-1, 28.02.2026 - Modena vs Padova - 1-2. For Spezia, the last three games were: 07.03.2026 - Spezia vs Monza - 4-2, 03.03.2026 - Padova vs Spezia - 2-2, 28.02.2026 - Spezia vs Reggiana - 0-1. The last head-to-head match was on 13.12.2025: Spezia vs Modena - 0-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Modena vs Spezia

Based on the five-match scoring average, Modena has 2.2 goals per game, while Spezia has 3.6. Modena scores 1.2 and concedes 1, whereas Spezia scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. By halves, Modena had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half with over 1.5 goals. Spezia had 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves. In terms of goal intervals: Modena most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (43%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (60%). Spezia's goals are most often distributed across three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (each 25%), and they concede most often between the 16th and 30th minute (30%). Given Spezia's high scoring rate, consistent over 2.5 goal outcomes for both teams, and overall half-time dynamics, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified and is supported by odds of 1.97.

Corner Bets

Modena averages 5.4 corners in the last five matches, while Spezia averages 3.4. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches over, and 3 under. Considering the total corners, the most likely line is 8.5, but individual totals are available: for Modena over 5.5 is 1.83, under 5.5 is 1.83; for Spezia over 3.5 is 2.00, under 3.5 is 1.73. Based on average values, 8-9 corners per match can be expected. Given Modena's activity in delivering corners, a bet on Modena's individual total over 5.5 corners is appealing. Also, considering that only 2 out of 5 matches for both teams were over this mark, a bet on under 9.5 corners can be considered.