Prediction for match Monterrey — Atletico San Luis

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on April 4, Monterrey will face Atletico San Luis. Monterrey is favored with odds of 1.50, reflecting a 62.08% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 4.35 (21.41%), while Atletico San Luis's victory is at 5.64 (16.51%). Monterrey is the favorite according to the main odds, which is also supported by the probability percentages. These 1X2 figures indicate analysts' confidence in Monterrey's advantage and highlight the difference in team potential at this stage of the season.

Team Results and Statistics

Monterrey's last three matches were against Guadalajara (2-3), Cruz Azul (1-1), and Juarez (2-2). Atletico San Luis played Leon (1-2), Pachuca (1-1), and Cruz Azul (0-3). Over a five-match series, Monterrey has an average possession of 49.4%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and records 0.6 offsides per game. Atletico San Luis averages 48.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 19, 2025, Atletico San Luis lost to Monterrey 0-1. These stats reflect a similar level of discipline and activity in ball possession, but Monterrey appears slightly more stable in results.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Monterrey has an average total of 3.4 goals over the last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2 goals per game. Atletico San Luis averages 2.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, Monterrey has over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches, while Atletico San Luis has 1 of 5. In the second half, Monterrey records over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5, Atletico San Luis in 2 of 5. Monterrey often scores late (76-90 minutes, 56%), while Atletico San Luis distributes their goals across three periods: 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90, each at 22%. For goals conceded, Monterrey has four equal intervals (0-15, 16-30, 46-60, 76-90 - each 22%), while Atletico San Luis concedes 60% of their goals late (76-90). Overall, both teams have an over-profile for total over 2.5 goals, and average goal stats support a bet on over 2.5 goals. The odds for over 2.5 is 1.59, making this option appealing given both teams' scoring statistics and frequent overs in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Monterrey averages 3.8 corners per match, and Atletico San Luis 3.4. Both teams have only gone over 9.5 corners once in their last 5 matches. Considering the total corners, the closest line to the average sum (7.2) is 7.5. For this total, the odds are: over 7.5 - 1.36, under 7.5 - 2.87. Based on the averages, a bet on under 7.5 corners seems logical. Neither team shows high activity in corners, which is further confirmed by the low frequency of high totals. Overall, the match does not promise a high number of corners, and a bet on a low total in this regard seems justified.