Prediction for match Monterrey — Pachuca

Match Analysis: Monterrey vs Pachuca

On April 19th, Monterrey will face Pachuca in the Liga MX. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Monterrey is priced at 2.10, a draw at 3.60, and a victory for Pachuca at 3.14. In terms of probabilities: Monterrey - 44.40%, draw - 25.90%, Pachuca - 29.70%. Monterrey is the slight favorite, but the difference isn't overwhelming, and both teams have a significant chance of getting a positive result. The match promises to be an exciting contest, given the current form and attacking potential of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Monterrey has an average possession of 54.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.4 times per game. In the same period, Pachuca has 48.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. Monterrey's last three matches: April 12 - Atlas 0-0 Monterrey, April 4 - Monterrey 1-2 Atletico San Luis, March 22 - Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara. Pachuca's recent games: April 12 - Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna, April 5 - Cruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca, March 22 - Pachuca 1-1 Toluca. In their last head-to-head on July 13, 2025, Pachuca defeated Monterrey 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Monterrey has seen over 2.5 goals in three games, and under in two. Similarly, Pachuca has had three of five games with over 2.5 goals. By halves, Monterrey had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and three times in the second half. Pachuca had over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves. The average number of goals in Monterrey's matches is 2.8, while Pachuca's is 3.2. Monterrey scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6, while Pachuca scores 2 and concedes 1.2. Monterrey most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (57%) and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). Pachuca is most productive between the 31st and 45th minutes, and 61st and 75th minutes (33% each), and most often concedes late in the game (76th-90th minutes, 43%). Given that both teams often play matches with over 2.5 goals, and their average goal numbers exceed 2.5, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.64 seems a logical choice.

Corners in the Match

Monterrey averages 4.2 corners per game, while Pachuca averages 4.6. In their last five matches, both teams have seen the total corners exceed 9.5 twice. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to their average sum (8.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.44, under 8.5 at 2.60. Monterrey is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.77. Considering both teams' average corner activity, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, a bet on Monterrey to win the corner count could be considered.