Prediction for match Monterrey — Puebla

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on April 22, Monterrey will face Puebla. According to the 1X2 odds, Monterrey's win is at 1.42, a draw is at 4.60, and Puebla's victory is valued at 6.58. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Monterrey - 65.60%, draw - 20.25%, Puebla - 14.16%. In their last five matches, both teams have shown inconsistent results, but Monterrey has a higher chance of winning based on bookmakers' odds and statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Monterrey played as follows: 19.04.2026 - Monterrey vs Pachuca - 1-3, 12.04.2026 - Atlas vs Monterrey - 0-0, 04.04.2026 - Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis - 1-2. During the same period, Puebla's matches were: 19.04.2026 - Guadalajara vs Puebla - 5-0, 11.04.2026 - Puebla vs Leon - 0-1, 04.04.2026 - Puebla vs Juarez - 1-1. On average over the last five matches, Monterrey has 56.6% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides. Puebla shows 48.6% possession, 2.2 yellows, 13.4 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 30.08.2025, Puebla vs Monterrey ended 2-4.

Goals Total Statistics

Monterrey averages a total of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Puebla averages 2.2 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Monterrey has 3 out of 5, Puebla 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Monterrey has 0 out of 5, Puebla 1 out of 5. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurs in 3 out of 5 for both teams. Monterrey scores most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Puebla scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). For conceded goals: Monterrey concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minute (44%), Puebla between the 61st and 75th minute (67%). Considering Puebla's low scoring rate (0.4 goals per game) and that Monterrey's over 2.5 goals occurs 3 out of 5 times, a bet on under 3.5 goals at 1.49 seems justified. Puebla rarely scores, and Monterrey concedes a lot, but they do not consistently have high-scoring matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

Monterrey averages 5.4 corners per match, Puebla 5. For over 9.5 corners: Monterrey has 3 out of 5, Puebla 4 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 10.5. Over 10.5 corners is at 2.09, under 10.5 is at 1.61. Monterrey is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.30. Considering the average activity of both teams in terms of corners, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems logical, although Puebla has a higher frequency of occurrence. Individual corner totals for Monterrey could also be considered, given their average of 5.4 per game.