Prediction for match Montpellier — Pau, 06.12.2025

Match Preview

On December 6, 2025, Montpellier will face Pau in a Ligue 2 match. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Montpellier is priced at 1.90, a draw at 3.60, and a win for Pau at 3.79. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Montpellier - 49.28%, draw - 26.01%, Pau - 24.71%. Montpellier is considered the favorite, but the percentage gap isn't overwhelming. Bookmakers expect Montpellier to be closer to victory, but the possibility of a draw is also significant.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Montpellier has shown a ball possession rate of 61.6%, averaging 2.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Pau lags behind in these metrics with 51.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Montpellier played as follows: November 24 - Reims vs Montpellier 2-0, November 7 - Montpellier vs Annecy 1-0, October 31 - Montpellier vs Rodez 2-0. Pau's last three matches were: November 21 - Pau vs Le Mans 1-2, November 8 - Guingamp vs Pau 2-2, November 3 - Pau vs Troyes 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on January 6, 2023: Pau vs Montpellier 2-1.

Team Goal Scoring Trends

Montpellier averages a total of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 per game. Pau's matches have been more goal-laden, averaging 3.6 goals, but they score only 0.8 and concede 2.8. Montpellier has hit the over 2.5 goals mark only once in their last five, whereas Pau has done so in four out of five. In the first half, Montpellier had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Pau had 4 out of 5. In the second half, Montpellier had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Pau 1 out of 5. Montpellier's most frequent scoring period is between 46-60 minutes (40%), while Pau's is 0-15 minutes (40%). Montpellier concedes 100% of their goals between 16-30 minutes, while Pau concedes 25% in the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals. Despite the high average goal count in Pau's games, their attack is inconsistent, and their defense is vulnerable. Montpellier, on the other hand, regularly scores and concedes few. Considering the over trends and average scoring, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical: Pau's games often see at least three goals, and Montpellier can maintain the pace with their attack.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last 5 matches, Montpellier has averaged 8.4 corners, while Pau has averaged 6. Regarding the over 9.5 corners line, Montpellier has gone over in 4 out of 5, Pau in 1 out of 5. Based on the average sum of corners (14.4), the nearest total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners at 1.87, under 9.5 at 1.87. Montpellier is favored in corners at 1.67. Statistically, Montpellier consistently wins many corners, making a bet on over 9.5 corners or Montpellier's individual corner total over logical.