Prediction for match Motherwell — St. Mirren, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 3, 2026, in the Scottish Premiership, Motherwell will face St. Mirren. The odds for a Motherwell win are 2.04, a draw is at 3.22, and a St. Mirren victory is priced at 3.75. In terms of outcome probabilities: Motherwell - 45.92%, draw - 29.09%, St. Mirren - 24.98%. Bookmakers see a Motherwell win as the most likely outcome, although the difference between the teams is not significant, as reflected in both the percentages and the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Motherwell has an average possession of 56.8%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 2.8 offsides per game. Over the same period, St. Mirren has 49% possession, receives 1.25 yellow cards, commits 11.5 fouls, and records 2 offsides. In their last three games, Motherwell played as follows: 30.12.2025 - Motherwell 2-0 Celtic, 27.12.2025 - Rangers 1-0 Motherwell, 20.12.2025 - Motherwell 1-0 Dundee FC. St. Mirren's last three matches were: 30.12.2025 - Rangers 2-1 St. Mirren, 27.12.2025 - St. Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock, 20.12.2025 - St. Mirren 1-0 Livingston. In their last head-to-head on 01.11.2025, Motherwell lost to St. Mirren 1-4.

Goal Scoring Trends

In their last five matches, Motherwell averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, with a total average of 1.4 goals per match. St. Mirren averages 1 goal scored and 0.5 conceded, with a total average of 1.5 goals per match. For over 2.5 goals: only 1 of Motherwell's 5 games had three or more goals, while St. Mirren had 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half: Motherwell had 1 out of 5, St. Mirren 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals never occurred for Motherwell and only once for St. Mirren. Regarding goal intervals: Motherwell most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while St. Mirren scores most often between 61-75 minutes (38%). St. Mirren concedes most frequently in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 67%). Overall, both teams exhibit low-scoring dynamics: average total goals do not exceed 1.5, over 2.5 goals is rare, and an under-profile prevails by halves. The most logical bet seems to be under 2.5 goals at 1.75.

Corner Bets

On average, Motherwell earns 2.4 corners per match, while St. Mirren earns 6.25. In the last 5 games, Motherwell did not surpass the 9.5 corners total, whereas St. Mirren did in 3 out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.59, under 9.5 at 2.13. Motherwell is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.76. Given that Motherwell takes few corners and St. Mirren consistently achieves high numbers, considering over 9.5 corners is logical, but caution is advised due to Motherwell's low activity.