Prediction for match NAC Breda — Excelsior

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between NAC Breda and Excelsior in the Eredivisie draws attention not only because of the standings but also due to the balance of power reflected in the odds. NAC Breda is favored with odds of 1.83, corresponding to a 52.48% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.82 (25.14%), while Excelsior's victory is rated at 4.29 with a 22.38% probability. Among the goal totals, the bet on Over 2.5 is offered at 1.70, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.61. Options for total goals under 3.0 are at 1.67, and over 2.75 is at 1.80. For individual team totals, NAC Breda Over 1.5 is at 1.74, and Excelsior Over 1.5 is at 2.88. The double chance bet "draw or Excelsior" is at 2.00. For halves: the total for the second half over 1.5 is at 1.89, under is at 1.85.

Review of Recent Matches

In their last five matches, NAC Breda averages 48.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Excelsior maintains 47% possession, receives 1.4 warnings, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. In the last three encounters, NAC Breda played as follows: 30.01.2026 - NAC Breda vs Twente - 2-2, 24.01.2026 - PSV vs NAC Breda - 2-2, 17.01.2026 - NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen - 3-4. Excelsior's last three matches were: 01.02.2026 - Excelsior vs Ajax - 2-2, 24.01.2026 - Twente vs Excelsior - 0-0, 21.01.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior - 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on 29.11.2025: Excelsior vs NAC Breda - 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match NAC Breda vs Excelsior

In the last five matches, both teams show a high-scoring profile: NAC Breda averages a total of 3.2 goals per game, the same as Excelsior. NAC Breda scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.8 per match, while Excelsior scores 1.2 and concedes 2. In a series of five games, the total over 2.5 occurred 3 times for both teams, confirming a trend towards overs. By halves, NAC Breda had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Excelsior similarly had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second over 1.5 goals. NAC Breda most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (43%), while Excelsior scores most often in the 61-75 minute range (40%). Both teams are most vulnerable at the end of the first half: NAC Breda concedes 33% of goals between the 31-45 minute, while Excelsior concedes 33% between the 31-45 and 46-60 minutes. Given the average scoring, occurrences of totals over 2.5, and goal distribution by halves, a bet on Over 2.5 at 1.70 seems logical.

Corner Bets

In the last five matches, NAC Breda averages 5 corners, and Excelsior 4.2. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 was recorded 3 times for both teams. Among the offered corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - 1.67, under 9.5 - 2.05. In the corner outcome, NAC Breda is favored with odds of 1.58. Based on the statistics, both teams are capable of maintaining a high pace in corner deliveries, so a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified.