Prediction for match Nagoya Grampus — Shimizu S-pulse

Match Analysis: Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Nagoya Grampus will face Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League on February 8, 2026. The odds for a Nagoya Grampus win are 1.98, a draw is at 3.40, and a Shimizu S-Pulse victory is at 3.74. In terms of probability percentages, Nagoya Grampus is rated at 47.35%, a draw at 27.58%, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 25.07%. Nagoya Grampus is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap in chances isn't overwhelming, which makes the betting choice for this match intriguing.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Nagoya Grampus played as follows: December 6 - Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-0, November 30 - Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus 3-1, November 8 - Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus 1-0. Shimizu S-Pulse's last three games were: December 6 - Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama 1-2, November 30 - Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0, November 9 - Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka 1-4. Over the last five matches, Nagoya Grampus averaged 51.4% possession, committed 7.2 fouls, 1.2 offsides, and received 1 yellow card. Shimizu S-Pulse had 57.6% possession, 8.2 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 0.6 yellow cards in the same period. In their last head-to-head on June 21, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus averaged a total of 2.4 goals, scored 0.8, and conceded 1.6 per game. Shimizu S-Pulse has been more prolific, with an average of 3.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4. As for over 2.5 goals: Nagoya Grampus saw 2 out of 5 matches go over, while Shimizu S-Pulse had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Nagoya Grampus didn't see any matches go over 1.5, while Shimizu S-Pulse had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over 1.5. For goal intervals: Nagoya Grampus most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes most often from the 61st to the 90th minute (40% in both intervals). Shimizu S-Pulse scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes at the end (76-90 minutes - 30%). Considering both teams have a tendency to go over 2.5, and Shimizu S-Pulse is both high-scoring and concedes a lot, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems logical. This is further supported by the fact that both teams tend to score in the second half, and Shimizu S-Pulse is generally involved in high-scoring matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus averaged 4.8 corners, while Shimizu S-Pulse averaged 5.4, totaling 10.2 per game. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over. For the corner total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.82, under 9.5 is at 1.86. Nagoya Grampus is favored for most corners with odds of 1.71. Considering the average corner total and frequency of overs, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly take at least 5 corners per match, supporting the idea of a productive game in this aspect.