Prediction for match Nancy — Saint Etienne

Match Analysis: Nancy vs Saint Etienne

On April 4, 2026, Nancy will face Saint Etienne in France's Ligue 2. The odds for a Saint Etienne win are 1.94, a draw is at 3.22, and a Nancy victory is 4.14. According to the probabilities calculated for this match, Nancy has a 22.63% chance of winning, a draw is valued at 29.09%, and Saint Etienne has a 48.28% chance of winning. Saint Etienne is favored by both the odds and percentages, confirming their status as favorites in this matchup. These figures reflect the difference in the current form and results of the teams, as well as their attacking and defensive potential over recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Nancy's average ball possession over the last five games is 46%, while Saint Etienne's is 54.6%. Both teams average 1.6 yellow cards per match. Nancy averages 13 fouls and 2.4 offsides per game, while Saint Etienne averages 14.6 fouls and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Nancy played as follows: March 20, 2026 - Boulogne vs Nancy - 0-0, March 13, 2026 - Nancy vs Le Mans - 2-4, March 6, 2026 - Nancy vs Montpellier - 0-3. Saint Etienne's recent results are: March 21, 2026 - Saint Etienne vs Annecy - 4-0, March 14, 2026 - Grenoble vs Saint Etienne - 0-0, March 7, 2026 - Saint Etienne vs Red Star - 2-0. In their head-to-head on November 22, 2025, Saint Etienne defeated Nancy 2-1.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of scoring over the last five games, Nancy's average goal count per match is 2.2, while Saint Etienne's is 2.4. Nancy scores an average of 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.6, whereas Saint Etienne shows high attacking efficiency with 2.2 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded. Over 2.5 total goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Nancy, and in 3 out of 5 for Saint Etienne. In the first half, over 1.5 total goals occurred once in 5 matches for Nancy and twice for Saint Etienne. In the second half, both teams showed 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 total goals. Nancy most frequently scores and concedes goals between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). Saint Etienne's goals are evenly distributed across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 (each 25%), while conceded goals are spread across four intervals, including 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (each 25%). Considering Nancy's low scoring and Saint Etienne's solid defense, as well as the average scoring by totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.94, seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In terms of average corners, Nancy earns 7.2 per match, while Saint Etienne earns 6.4. In the last five games, over 9.5 total corners occurred 4 times for Nancy and 2 times for Saint Etienne. For individual corner totals, Nancy went over 4.5 twice and under three times. Saint Etienne similarly went over 4.5 twice and under three times. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum of both teams (13.6) is 9.5, where Nancy hit over 4 times out of 5. In this match, an active wing play and a high number of corner kicks can be expected, making a bet on over 9.5 total corners worth considering.