Prediction for match Nantes — Lens

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On December 6th in Ligue 1, Nantes will face Lens, and the betting odds highlight Lens as the clear favorite. Lens to win is at 1.73, a draw is at 4.11, and a victory for Nantes is offered at 5.18. In terms of outcome probabilities, Lens has a 56.98% chance, a draw is at 23.99%, and Nantes stands at 19.03%. This setup indicates strong confidence in Lens, who appear to be the better side ahead of this match.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Nantes has an average possession of 43.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Lens averages 54.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Nantes' last three matches were: November 30th Lyon - Nantes 3-0, November 23rd Nantes - Lorient 1-1, November 8th Le Havre - Nantes 1-1. Lens played as follows: November 30th Angers - Lens 1-2, November 22nd Lens - Strasbourg 1-0, November 8th Monaco - Lens 1-4. Notably, on February 23, 2025, Nantes defeated Lens 3-1 in a recent head-to-head.

Goal Statistics

In the last 5 games, Nantes has an average total goal count of 3.4, scoring 1 goal per match and conceding 2.4. Lens averages a total of 2.8 goals, with 2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games for Nantes, and 3 out of 5 for Lens. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for both teams, while in the second half, it was 3 out of 5 for Nantes and 4 out of 5 for Lens. Nantes most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Lens also scores late (76-90, 67%). Nantes concedes most in the closing minutes (76-90, 33%), whereas Lens concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). This profile of regular goals from both teams, especially in the second half, and frequent over 2.5 goals for Lens, alongside a decent average total for Nantes, suggests considering a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.79 as the main option.

Corner Totals Analysis

Nantes averages 2.6 corners over 5 matches, while Lens averages 5.4. For over 9.5 corners, both teams have 2 out of 5 occurrences. Considering the corner total, for the 9.5 line, both outcomes are possible: over 9.5 is at 1.84, under 9.5 at 1.86. Lens is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.55. Based on the combined statistics, Lens consistently delivers more corners, and the overall total could be close to 9-10, making over 9.5 corners an interesting option for corner bets.