Prediction for match Napoli — Lazio

Match Analysis: Napoli vs Lazio

In Serie A on April 18, Napoli will face Lazio. The odds clearly favor Napoli: a win for them is at 1.63, a draw at 3.97, and a victory for Lazio is priced at 6.70. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 60.46% for a Napoli win, 24.83% for a draw, and 14.71% for a Lazio win. Among the goal totals, the standout options are: over 2.5 goals at 2.32, under 2.5 goals at 1.71. Both teams to score: yes - 2.21, no - 1.61. For individual totals: Napoli over 1.5 goals is at 1.88, Lazio over 0.5 goals is at 1.90. The double chance for 1X is at 1.14, X2 at 2.43.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli averages 65.8% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Lazio averages 52.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Napoli's last three matches: 12.04.2026 - Parma vs Napoli 1-1, 06.04.2026 - Napoli vs Milan 1-0, 20.03.2026 - Cagliari vs Napoli 0-1. Lazio's: 13.04.2026 - Fiorentina vs Lazio 1-0, 04.04.2026 - Lazio vs Parma 1-1, 22.03.2026 - Bologna vs Lazio 0-2. In their last head-to-head on 04.01.2026, Lazio vs Napoli ended with a 0-2 win for Napoli.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Napoli's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times, under 3 times. For Lazio, over 2.5 happened only once, under 4 times. Napoli averages 2 goals per match, Lazio 1.8. In terms of scoring: Napoli averages 1.4 goals, Lazio 1.2, with both conceding 0.6 goals. In the first half, Napoli had no matches with over 1.5 goals, Lazio had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Napoli recorded over 1.5 goals 2 times, Lazio 1 time. Goal intervals: Napoli scores most frequently between 0-15 (33%) and 61-75 (33%), while Lazio scores between 16-30 (33%) and 76-90 (33%). In terms of conceding: Napoli most often in the first 15 minutes (50%), Lazio evenly across four intervals (25% each). Overall, both teams are not inclined towards high-scoring games, making under 2.5 goals a logical choice considering the frequency and average goal statistics. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.71.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Napoli averages 7 corners per match, Lazio 3.2. In the last 5 games, both teams saw over 9.5 corners 2 times, under 3 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 3.02, under 10.5 at 1.33. For the corner outcome, Napoli is the favorite with odds of 1.33. Considering Napoli's average corner activity and Lazio's more modest numbers, a bet on under 10.5 corners seems justified, but a bet on Napoli to win the corner count is also worth considering.