Prediction for match Napoli — Verona

Match Preview

On January 7th, Napoli will face Verona in Serie A. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Napoli win at 1.39, draw at 5.01, and Verona win at 10.20. In terms of probability, Napoli has a 70.74% chance of winning, a draw is at 19.63%, and Verona has a 9.64% chance. This distribution clearly favors Napoli, as reflected in both the odds and the chances of winning. Interestingly, despite Napoli's strong position, the odds for total goals are quite varied, with 'both teams to score: no' at 1.50 and 'yes' at 2.44.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli has an average possession of 53.8%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Verona, in the same period, has a possession of 41%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 16.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. Napoli's last three matches: January 4th - Lazio vs Napoli 0-2, December 28th - Cremonese vs Napoli 0-2, December 22nd - Napoli vs Bologna 2-0. Verona's last three matches: January 4th - Verona vs Torino 0-3, December 28th - Milan vs Verona 3-0, December 14th - Fiorentina vs Verona 1-2. In their head-to-head on January 12, 2025, Napoli defeated Verona 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Napoli never exceeded a total of over 2.5 goals - 0 out of 5, while Verona had all 5 matches end with over 2.5 goals. On average, Napoli scores 1.6 and concedes 0.2, while Verona scores 1.2 and concedes 2, resulting in 1.8 and 3.2 goals per match respectively. By halves, Napoli had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and none in the second, while Verona had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. Goal intervals: Napoli most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (40% each), while Verona scores in the same intervals (33% each). Napoli most often concedes in the first 15 minutes and between 31-45 (50% each), while Verona concedes most in the final minutes (76-90, 57%). Considering Napoli's low scoring and Verona's high average total but frequent conceding, a logical bet is 'both teams to score: no' at 1.50.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, Napoli takes 6.2 corners, Verona 3.8. For a total of over 9.5 corners: Napoli 2 out of 5 matches, Verona 4 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - 1.98, under 9.5 - 1.77. Napoli is favored for corners with odds of 1.18. Statistically, both teams are capable of maintaining the pace for corners, especially if Verona is chasing the game, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.