Prediction for match Nautico Recife — Cuiaba

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Serie B match between Nautico Recife and Cuiaba, scheduled for 22.05.2026, bookmakers favor Nautico Recife. The odds for their victory are 1.95, a draw is at 3.00, and a win for Cuiaba is at 4.40. The probability distribution is as follows: Nautico Recife - 47.77%, draw - 31.05%, Cuiaba - 21.17%. These figures highlight Nautico Recife's edge in the upcoming clash, and also suggest a fairly high likelihood of a draw. Cuiaba is seen as the underdog, but given the close odds for a draw, they might put up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

Nautico Recife has been active in their last five matches: they thrashed Operario 6-2 in their latest game, confidently beat America Mineiro 4-0, drew 1-1 with Botafogo SP, won against Athletic 1-0, and lost to Sao Bernardo 0-3. Cuiaba, in their five-game stretch, drew with Novorizontino 0-0, Athletic 0-0, Criciuma 1-1, Botafogo SP 1-1, and defeated Goias 2-0. In terms of ball possession, Nautico Recife averages 54.2%, while Cuiaba averages 48.2%. For yellow cards, Nautico Recife averages 2 per game, Cuiaba 2.4. Fouls: 16.6 against 18.8, respectively. Offsides: Nautico Recife records 1.8 per game, Cuiaba 0.8. In their last head-to-head on 23.12.2020, Nautico Recife won 2-0 against Cuiaba. These stats show Nautico Recife playing more aggressively and controlling the ball more often, while Cuiaba tends to play more cautiously.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Nautico Recife's last five matches, the over 2.5 goals bet came through 3 times, while the under did twice. For Cuiaba, none of their last 5 matches saw over 2.5 goals; all ended under. The average number of goals in Nautico Recife's matches is 3.6, with the team scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cuiaba's average total goals is 1.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding only 0.4. By halves, Nautico Recife had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and thrice in the second. Cuiaba never saw over 1.5 goals in the first half, and twice in the second out of five. Nautico Recife most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), while Cuiaba scores in the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals (50% each). Nautico Recife is most vulnerable to conceding late (76-90 minutes - 36%), while for Cuiaba, this interval accounts for 75%. Overall, Nautico Recife shows a high-scoring profile, while Cuiaba is more defensive. Given that all of Cuiaba's last five matches ended under 2.5 goals, and the average goals scored and conceded by both teams do not exceed 2.4, betting on under 2.25 goals seems reasonable. The odds for this are 1.58.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Nautico Recife averaged 4.8 corners, while Cuiaba averaged 5.2. For the over 9.5 corners bet, Nautico Recife had 4 out of 5 games go over, while Cuiaba had 2 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: the odds for over 9.5 are 1.79, and for under, it's 1.92. In terms of corner outcomes, Nautico Recife and Cuiaba have similar stats, but Nautico Recife tends to attack more and earn more corners in high-scoring games. It's logical to consider the over 9.5 corners option, given Nautico Recife's attacking style and both teams' tendency for active wing play. It's also worth noting that Cuiaba averages more corners despite their low goal-scoring rate.