Prediction for match Novorizontino — Ceara

Match Analysis: Novorizontino vs Ceara

On May 23, 2026, Novorizontino will face Ceara in Brazil's Serie B. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a victory for Novorizontino is priced at 2.16, a draw at 2.93, and a win for Ceara at 3.72. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 43.14% for a Novorizontino win, 31.81% for a draw, and 25.05% for a Ceara win. For total goals: over 2.5 is at 2.42, under 2.5 at 1.44. Both teams to score: yes at 2.08, no at 1.67. Individual totals: Novorizontino over 1 goal at 1.67, Ceara over 1 goal at 2.45. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.24, X2 at 1.64, and 12 at 1.36. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a win for Novorizontino or a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Novorizontino has averaged 47.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Ceara has shown 55.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 16.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Novorizontino's last three games: May 16, 2026, Cuiaba vs Novorizontino 0-0, May 10, 2026, Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP 1-0, May 3, 2026, Avai vs Novorizontino 3-3. Ceara's recent games: May 17, 2026, Ceara vs Fortaleza 2-1, May 14, 2026, Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro 2-1, May 9, 2026, Ceara vs Atletico Goianiense 0-1. The last head-to-head on August 27, 2024, ended with Ceara winning 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Novorizontino vs Ceara Match

In the last five games, Novorizontino's matches have had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Ceara's matches have seen over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. The average number of goals in Novorizontino's matches is 2.2, while Ceara's is 3. Novorizontino scores an average of 1.2 goals, Ceara 1.4, and they concede 1 and 1.6 goals respectively. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Novorizontino and twice for Ceara. In the second half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Novorizontino and three times for Ceara. Novorizontino scores most frequently between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute marks (29% each), while Ceara spreads their scoring evenly across four different segments (22% each). Novorizontino is most vulnerable to conceding between the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), whereas Ceara is most vulnerable between the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each). Overall, both teams have enough attacking potential, with Ceara showing higher scoring ability in recent matches. Considering these statistics, betting on over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.82 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Novorizontino averages 5 corners per game, Ceara 6. For over 9.5 corners, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches going over, and 3 going under. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.71, and under 9.5 is 2.02. Novorizontino is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.62. Given these averages and the frequency of overs, considering over 9.5 corners as an interesting additional bet is logical.