Prediction for match NEC Nijmegen — Fortuna Sittard

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Dutch Eredivisie on February 28th, NEC Nijmegen will face Fortuna Sittard. The odds for NEC Nijmegen to win are set at 1.46, a draw is at 4.99, and Fortuna Sittard's victory is rated at 6.37. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: NEC Nijmegen - 65.71%, draw - 19.23%, Fortuna Sittard - 15.06%. Among the goal totals, the most interesting is over 3.0 at 1.57, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.53. For individual totals: NEC Nijmegen over 2 goals is at 1.60, Fortuna Sittard over 1 is at 2.01. Double chance options: 1X is at 1.12, X2 - 2.76, 12 - 1.18.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, NEC Nijmegen played as follows: 21.02.2026 - Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - 1-1, 17.02.2026 - Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen - 1-1, 11.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht - 1-3. Fortuna Sittard in the same period: 20.02.2026 - Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior - 2-1, 14.02.2026 - Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - 4-1, 07.02.2026 - Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam - 2-2. In their last head-to-head meeting on 31.08.2025, Fortuna Sittard defeated NEC Nijmegen 3-2. In secondary statistics, NEC Nijmegen averages 61% ball possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game over a five-match span. Fortuna Sittard has 43.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five games, NEC Nijmegen has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, while Fortuna Sittard has 3.6. For the frequency of over 2.5 goals: NEC Nijmegen has 2 out of 5, and Fortuna Sittard has 5 out of 5 for over 2.5. By halves, NEC Nijmegen had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Fortuna Sittard had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. The average number of goals scored by both teams is 1.6 per match, with NEC Nijmegen conceding 1.2 and Fortuna Sittard 2 per game. Regarding goal intervals: NEC Nijmegen most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while they concede most often between 46-60 minutes (33%). Fortuna Sittard scores most often in the first 15 minutes (27%) and between 31-45 minutes (27%), while they concede most frequently between 31 and 45 minutes (43%). Considering Fortuna Sittard's high scoring and NEC Nijmegen's decent totals, a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.57 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

NEC Nijmegen averages 5 corners per match, and Fortuna Sittard averages 3.2. In a five-match series, NEC Nijmegen had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5, and Fortuna Sittard had 2 out of 5. Among corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.28, under 8.5 is at 3.05. There's also a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.53, under 9.5 is at 2.24. NEC Nijmegen is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.20. Overall, considering both teams' averages and recent match frequencies, it's logical to consider a bet on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners.