Prediction for match Necaxa — Tijuana

Match Analysis: Necaxa vs Tijuana

In Liga MX on March 21, Necaxa will face Tijuana. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Necaxa's win is priced at 2.13, Tijuana's victory at 3.14, and a draw at 3.50. The probability percentages are 43.73% for a Necaxa win, 26.61% for a draw, and 29.66% for a Tijuana win. Based on these figures, Necaxa is considered the favorite, although the gap with Tijuana isn't too large. For total goals, Over 2.5 is priced at 1.67, Under 2.5 at 2.15. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.55, no at 2.30. For individual totals: Necaxa Over 1.5 is at 1.90, Tijuana Over 1.5 at 2.39. Double chance 1X is at 1.32, X2 at 1.66. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a win for Necaxa, but other outcomes are not unlikely either.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In a series of five matches, Necaxa has an average ball possession of 46.8%, 3 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Tijuana's averages are: possession - 45.2%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 12.8, offsides - 2.4. Necaxa's last three matches: 14.03.2026 Puebla - Necaxa 0-0, 07.03.2026 Necaxa - UNAM Pumas 0-1, 04.03.2026 Pachuca - Necaxa 2-1. Tijuana: 15.03.2026 Leon - Tijuana 0-3, 09.03.2026 Tijuana - Santos Laguna 1-2, 05.03.2026 Atlas - Tijuana 2-1. The last head-to-head was on 01.09.2025: Tijuana - Necaxa 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last 5 matches, both teams had 3 out of 5 games go over 2.5 goals. Necaxa's average total goals per match is 2, with the team scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6. Tijuana's average total goals is 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Necaxa had only 1 out of 5 matches go over 1.5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Tijuana had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half over 1.5 goals. In terms of goal intervals: Necaxa scores most frequently in four different segments at 25% each, and concedes mostly at the end (76-90 minutes) - 67%. Tijuana scores most often between 61-75 minutes (40%), conceding evenly across three segments. Despite Necaxa's low scoring rate, both teams have had games go over 2.5 goals, and Tijuana's average total is above 2.5. Both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.55, and this option seems logical given Tijuana's 1.4 goals per game and Necaxa's tendency to go over 2.5, despite their low attacking activity. Supporting BTTS: Yes is also the fact that both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Necaxa's average corners per game is 4.8, Tijuana's is 4.2, totaling 9. In a five-game series, Necaxa had 5 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 corners, Tijuana had 2 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. In terms of corners outcome, Necaxa is the favorite with odds of 1.68. The most logical bet seems to be on over 9.5 total corners, considering Necaxa's consistent performance in this regard, and the combined average of both teams is close to this mark. Also, considering a bet on Necaxa to win on corners, given their statistics.