Prediction for match Necaxa — UNAM Pumas

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on March 7th, Necaxa will face UNAM Pumas. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Necaxa win at 2.47, a draw at 3.32, and a win for UNAM Pumas at 2.68. The outcome probabilities are estimated as follows: Necaxa - 37.51%, draw - 27.91%, UNAM Pumas - 34.58%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.85, both teams to score - yes at 1.65, and Necaxa's individual total over 1 is at 1.51. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.42, X2 - 1.49, 12 - 1.29. For corners, the odds are: Necaxa win - 1.72, UNAM Pumas win - 2.51, draw - 8.30.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Necaxa has an average ball possession of 50.4%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas, in the same period, shows 53.6% possession, 1 yellow card, 11.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides on average. Recent matches for Necaxa: March 4th, Pachuca vs. Necaxa 2-1, March 1st, Leon vs. Necaxa 2-1, February 22nd, Necaxa vs. Toluca 0-3. UNAM Pumas played against Toluca on March 4th, ending 2-3, against Tijuana on February 28th, ending 1-1, and against Monterrey on February 22nd, ending 2-0. Their head-to-head on August 11, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Necaxa has an average total of 3.4 goals per match, while UNAM Pumas averages 3.0. Necaxa scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8, while UNAM Pumas scores 1.8 and concedes 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 of Necaxa's matches and 2 out of 5 for UNAM Pumas. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 2 times out of 5 for Necaxa and 4 out of 5 for UNAM Pumas. In the second half, Necaxa had 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, UNAM Pumas 2 out of 5. Necaxa most frequently scores between the 61st-75th minute (33%) and concedes towards the end, 76th-90th minute (63%). UNAM Pumas often scores between the 16th-30th minute (38%) and concedes between the 31st-45th minute (43%). The total goals and over statistics suggest a high-scoring match, especially considering both teams consistently score and have decent average goal figures. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems optimal.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Necaxa averages 4.6 corners over 5 matches, while UNAM Pumas averages 2.8. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 out of 5 of Necaxa's matches and 2 out of 5 for UNAM Pumas. The line closest to the average total (7.4) is set at 7.5: over 7.5 is at 1.22, under 7.5 at 3.50. There's also a line at 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.44, under 8.5 at 2.47. For corners outcome, Necaxa is the favorite at 1.72. Considering the corners statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5 corners, as well as a win for Necaxa in terms of corners.