Prediction for match Newcastle — Bournemouth

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

In the Premier League on April 18, 2026, Newcastle will face Bournemouth. The odds for a Newcastle win are 1.97, while Bournemouth's victory is at 3.86, and a draw is priced at 4.00. In terms of probabilities: Newcastle 49.93%, draw 24.59%, Bournemouth 25.48%. Newcastle holds a slight edge, but Bournemouth also has their chances, as reflected in the percentages and odds. Based on the odds distribution, bookmakers lean towards a Newcastle success, but there's no certainty of a landslide win.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Newcastle lost to Crystal Palace 1-2 (12.04.2026), were defeated by Sunderland 1-2 (22.03.2026), and were heavily beaten by Barcelona 2-7 (18.03.2026). Bournemouth, in their last three games, defeated Arsenal 2-1 (11.04.2026), drew with Manchester United 2-2 (20.03.2026), and had a goalless draw with Burnley 0-0 (14.03.2026). On average, over the last five games, Newcastle had 46.8% possession, committed 11.4 fouls, were caught offside 1.8 times, and received 2 yellow cards. Bournemouth's stats are slightly higher: 54.8% possession, 11.4 fouls, 1.2 offsides, and 2 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on 10.01.2026, the teams drew 3-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Newcastle vs Bournemouth

In the last five matches, Newcastle saw over 2.5 goals three times, while Bournemouth saw it twice. Newcastle's average goals per match is 3.6, while Bournemouth's is 1.8. Newcastle scores 1.2 and concedes 2.4, while Bournemouth scores 1 and concedes 0.8. By halves, Newcastle had over 1.5 goals in the second half four out of five times, but only once in the first half. Bournemouth had over 1.5 goals just once in the second half and once in the first half. Newcastle most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (27%), and concedes both between the 16th and 30th minutes (29%) and 76th and 90th minutes (29%). Bournemouth most often scores and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (50% and 60% respectively). Overall, Newcastle shows high scoring potential, but Bournemouth has a solid defense. Considering Newcastle's higher average goals per match and Bournemouth's low conceding rate, expecting a total under 3.5 seems reasonable. The odds for under 3.5 total goals are 1.75.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Newcastle averages 4.8 corners, while Bournemouth averages 5.2 per game. In the last 5 matches, Newcastle saw over 9.5 total corners twice, while Bournemouth saw it four times. The total corners market closest to the average sum (10) is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.50, under 9.5 at 2.41. In terms of corner outcomes, Newcastle is the favorite with odds of 1.49. Overall, both teams are capable of earning 5 or more corners per match, and Bournemouth often hits the higher totals. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners, given Bournemouth's frequency and overall activity in this metric.