Prediction for match Tottenham — Brighton

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League, Tottenham will face Brighton on April 18. Brighton is priced at 2.47 for a win, Tottenham at 2.84, and a draw at 3.88. Probability percentages are: Brighton - 39.90%, Tottenham - 34.70%, draw - 25.40%. Brighton is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap between the teams is not significant, promising an exciting battle for three points. Additional markets offer options on totals and both teams to score, but the main focus of the bookmakers is on scoring potential and the balance of power in attack.

Team Results and Statistics

Tottenham has shown inconsistent results in their last five matches: a loss to Sunderland 0-1 (12.04.2026), a heavy home defeat to Nottingham Forest 0-3 (22.03.2026), a win over Atletico Madrid 3-2 (18.03.2026), a draw with Liverpool 1-1 (15.03.2026), and an away loss to Atletico Madrid 2-5 (10.03.2026). Brighton in the same period defeated Burnley 2-0 (11.04.2026), beat Liverpool 2-1 (21.03.2026), won against Sunderland 1-0 (14.03.2026), lost to Arsenal 0-1 (04.03.2026), and defeated Nottingham Forest 2-1 (01.03.2026). In their last head-to-head meeting on September 20, 2025, the teams drew 2-2. Secondary statistics reveal that Tottenham averages 46.8% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Brighton has higher possession at 52.6%, 3 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. This indicates Brighton's better discipline and ball control, while Tottenham tends toward more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring in their last five matches, Tottenham has an average total of 3.6 goals, while Brighton has 2.0. Tottenham scores 1.2 and concedes 2.4, Brighton scores 1.4 and concedes only 0.6. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Tottenham had 3 out of 5 games with three or more goals, Brighton had 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Tottenham, twice for Brighton. In the second half, Tottenham had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Brighton had under 1.5 goals in all five matches. Tottenham most frequently scores in the 0-15 and 16-30 minute intervals (30% each), while Brighton scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (75%). In terms of goals conceded: Tottenham most often concedes late (76-90, 38%), Brighton in the first 15 minutes (33%). Overall, the combined goal and total statistics suggest a likely high-scoring game, but given Brighton's low concession rate and Tottenham's moderate scoring, betting on both teams to score: yes at 1.53 seems optimal.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Tottenham averages 6.2 corners per match, Brighton 3.4. For over 9.5 corners: Tottenham had 2 out of 5, Brighton 3 out of 5. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5, offering 1.61 for over, 2.17 for under. Tottenham is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.95. Given the statistics of both teams, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners and Tottenham's advantage in corner numbers is logical. Overall, both teams are capable of ensuring a sufficient number of corners, especially if the game is played at a fast pace with active wing attacks.