Prediction for match Newcastle — PSV Eindhoven, 21.01.2026

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs PSV

In the Champions League on January 21, Newcastle will face PSV. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Newcastle's victory is priced at 1.48, a draw at 5.38, and PSV's success at 6.40. In terms of probabilities: Newcastle - 66.39%, draw - 18.26%, PSV - 15.35%. Newcastle stands out as the favorite, but the recent performance statistics of both teams in terms of scoring and defense deserve attention. This matchup features teams with different approaches to attack and defense, which is reflected in the odds and probabilities for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle averages 58.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 8.2 fouls, and is caught offside 3.2 times per game. PSV appears even more active with 64.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Newcastle's last three matches: January 18 - Wolverhampton vs Newcastle 0-0, January 13 - Newcastle vs Manchester City 0-2, January 10 - Newcastle vs Bournemouth 10-9. PSV's recent results: January 17 - Fortuna Sittard vs PSV 1-2, January 14 - Den Bosch vs PSV 1-4, January 10 - PSV vs Excelsior 5-1. These matches show different styles, as confirmed by possession and discipline statistics. Newcastle often plays with higher possession, while PSV is known for its high scoring and fewer cautions. Over 5 matches, Newcastle averaged 2.2 yellow cards, PSV - 1.4. In terms of fouls, Newcastle - 8.2, PSV - 9.6. For offsides, Newcastle - 3.2, PSV - 2.2. Newcastle tends to play more physically, whereas PSV prefers to control the ball and attack in numbers.

How Many Goals in the Match: Newcastle vs PSV

In the last five games, Newcastle has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per match. PSV's figures are even higher with 4 goals per game, scoring 3.2 and conceding just 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Newcastle has 2 out of 5, PSV - 5 out of 5. In the first half, Newcastle has only 1 of 5 games with two or more goals, PSV - 4 of 5. In the second half, Newcastle recorded 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, PSV - 1 out of 5. Goal intervals: Newcastle usually scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and PSV - in the first 15 minutes (36%). Newcastle concedes most often between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each), while PSV concedes early in the match (0-15, 33%). Overall, both teams have a strong over profile, especially PSV, with 5 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Newcastle can also support high scoring, especially in the second half. Based on these data, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 2.03 seems reasonable: both teams score regularly, PSV consistently surpasses 2.5, and Newcastle often plays high-scoring second halves. On average, over 5 matches, the teams score a combined 5 goals, supporting the prediction for a high total.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Newcastle averages 7 over 5 matches, PSV - 8.4. In a series of five games, Newcastle recorded 5 out of 5 for over 9.5 corners, PSV - 4 out of 5 for over 9.5. The combined average for corners is 15.4 per game. Among available totals, the closest to this sum is the 9.5 line, but there is no pair of odds for it, so the next suitable total is 12.5. However, there is no pair for 12.5, so the nearest option would be 13.5, if it existed, but it does not. Thus, a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical based on statistics, considering both teams' high averages. There is no clear winner for corners, as both teams regularly deliver many corners. In this match, an abundance of corners is expected, given both teams' attacking style and high stats in this component.