Prediction for match Nice — Saint Etienne

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 21, in the Coupe de France, Nice will face Saint Etienne. According to the 1X2 odds, Nice is favored: their win is priced at 1.83, a draw at 3.60, and a win for Saint Etienne at 4.04. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Nice is estimated at 50.99%, a draw at 25.92%, and Saint Etienne at 23.10%. This indicates a clear advantage for Nice, who have significant support in both odds and calculated chances. Although the difference between a draw and a Saint Etienne win isn't large, Nice stands out as the main contender for success.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary indicators, Nice has an average possession of 48.6%, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides over their last five matches. Saint Etienne, over the same period, shows 63.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Nice lost 0-2 to Lens, 0-1 to Braga, and 0-1 to Angers. Saint Etienne drew 2-2 with Bastia, lost 0-1 to Dunkerque, and won 2-1 against Nancy. In their head-to-head on March 1, 2025, Saint Etienne lost to Nice 1-3.

Goal Statistics

In terms of totals over the last five games, Nice had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Saint Etienne had over 2.5 goals four times and under once. On average, Nice scores 2.2 goals per game, while Saint Etienne averages 3.2. The difference in goals scored is significant: Nice scores only 0.2 on average and concedes 2, while Saint Etienne scores 1.6 and concedes the same amount. By halves, Nice had two instances of over 1.5 goals in the first half and none in the second, while Saint Etienne had three instances of over 1.5 in both halves. The most frequent interval for Nice to score is the 31-45 minute mark (38%), while for Saint Etienne it's 76-90 (27%). In terms of goals conceded, Nice has an even distribution in the first 45 minutes (33% each), while Saint Etienne most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (43%). This profile suggests that Saint Etienne tends to have high-scoring matches, while Nice has been scoring less lately, but their games are often not low-scoring. Considering this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems justified: Saint Etienne has a consistent over-profile, and Nice regularly concedes.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average corner count for Nice over the last five matches is 5.2, while Saint Etienne's is 3.4. In their last five games, Nice hit over 9.5 corners twice, while Saint Etienne hasn't hit this total once. If we consider the nearest total to the sum of averages, it's 8.5, but among the available options in the odds, there's a total of 9.5. For this, there are no pairings, so the nearest options in the odds aren't displayed. Overall, given the low averages for corners for both teams, a bet on a moderate total seems logical, without a clear tilt towards a high number of corners. Nice shows a higher corner count in statistics, but Saint Etienne doesn't support an over-profile.