Prediction for match Nieciecza — Jagiellonia, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia

In the Ekstraklasa, Nieciecza faces Jagiellonia on December 7, 2025. Bookmakers have Jagiellonia as the favorite, offering odds of 2.11 for their victory, while Nieciecza's win is at 3.09, and a draw is priced at 3.62. The probability percentages are as follows: 44.14% for Jagiellonia, 30.14% for Nieciecza, and 25.73% for a draw. Thus, Jagiellonia holds the advantage in the odds, but Nieciecza isn't a clear underdog in terms of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nieciecza had an average ball possession of 49.2%, committed 12 fouls per game, received 2.6 yellow cards, and was caught offside once per match. Jagiellonia shows stronger stats: 62.6% possession, 15.6 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides on average. In their last three games, Nieciecza lost 1-5 to Lechia Gdansk on November 29, defeated Arka Gdynia 2-0 on November 21, and beat Legia Warsaw 2-1 on November 9. Jagiellonia, in their last three matches, drew 0-0 with Zagłębie Lubin on November 30, won 1-0 against KuPS on November 27, and defeated Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 on November 9. The last head-to-head encounter was on July 18, 2025, where Jagiellonia lost 0-4 to Nieciecza.

Teams' Scoring Series

In a five-match series, Nieciecza averages 3.2 total goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2 goals per game. Jagiellonia's figures are lower: 1.8 goals on average, with 1 scored and 0.8 conceded. For games with over 2.5 goals, Nieciecza has 3 out of 5, while Jagiellonia has 2 out of 5, indicating more high-scoring games involving Nieciecza. In terms of halves, Nieciecza had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, but saw over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Jagiellonia had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and in the second half 2 out of 5 times. Nieciecza scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), while Jagiellonia scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Both teams concede most often towards the end: Nieciecza concedes 43% of goals from the 76th to 90th minutes, Jagiellonia 40% in the same period. Overall, considering Nieciecza's frequent over 2.5 goal games and solid scoring stats, especially in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Nieciecza earns 3.8 corners, while Jagiellonia earns 4.6 per match. Combined, this is 8.4, close to the 8.5 total line. In the last 5 games, both teams had 2 instances of over 9.5 corners. The 8.5 total line appears closest to the average, with over 8.5 at 1.31 and under 8.5 at 2.98. The 9.5 total can also be considered, with over 9.5 at 1.57 and under 9.5 at 2.22. In corner betting, Jagiellonia is the favorite with odds of 1.93. Based on statistics, expecting 8-10 corners in this match is logical, and betting on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners seems most justified.