Prediction for match Nieciecza — Motor Lublin

Match Analysis: Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin

On March 13, 2026, Nieciecza will face Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa. According to the 1X2 odds, Nieciecza is the favorite with odds of 2.31, while a win for Motor Lublin is at 2.76, and a draw is priced at 3.60. In terms of probability, Nieciecza has 40.34%, Motor Lublin 33.77%, and a draw 25.89%. This indicates fairly close chances, with a slight edge for Nieciecza. The odds for both teams to score are at 1.52, highlighting this market as one of the more trusted by bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nieciecza has not gathered many points: a loss to Korona Kielce 1-2, a draw with Radomiak Radom 1-1, a defeat by Raków 0-1, a draw with Górnik Zabrze 1-1, and another draw with Pogoń Szczecin 1-1. Over the same period, Motor Lublin drew with Górnik Zabrze 0-0, beat Korona Kielce 2-0, won against Piast Gliwice 2-1, but lost to Lechia Gdańsk 2-3 and Jagiellonia 1-4. On average over 5 matches, Nieciecza's possession stands at 40.8%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 14, offsides - 2. Motor Lublin holds higher possession at 50.8%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. The last head-to-head on 14.09.2025 ended in a 1-1 draw.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of totals over the last 5 games, Nieciecza only exceeded 2.5 goals once, with 4 games going under. In contrast, Motor Lublin had 3 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Nieciecza exceeded 1.5 goals only once, while Motor Lublin did so 3 times. In the second half, Nieciecza had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, while Motor Lublin had 3 out of 5. The average number of goals per match for Nieciecza is 2, and for Motor Lublin, it's 3. Nieciecza scores an average of 0.8, and Motor Lublin 1.4. Conceding averages are Nieciecza - 1.2, Motor Lublin - 1.6. Nieciecza most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Motor Lublin scores most often in the final 76 to 90 minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Nieciecza has a balanced distribution across four intervals from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% each), while Motor Lublin concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minute (33%). Given these stats, a bet on both teams to score seems logical: Motor Lublin consistently finds the net, and Nieciecza regularly concedes, with Nieciecza scoring in nearly every match despite low overall scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners over 5 matches is 5.4 for Nieciecza and 3.4 for Motor Lublin. The frequency of over 9.5 corners total is 5 out of 5 for Nieciecza and 3 out of 5 for Motor Lublin. The market offers a total corners line at 8, which is close to the combined average of both teams (5.4 + 3.4 = 8.8), but only individual totals are quoted. For Nieciecza, over 4.5 corners is offered at 1.67, under at 2.10. For Motor Lublin, under 5.5 is at 1.67, over at 2.10. Based on statistics, a bet on total corners over 8.5 seems justified, considering Nieciecza's high frequency and Motor Lublin's decent figures. Additionally, considering Nieciecza's individual total over 4.5 corners as an extra option could be worthwhile.