Prediction for match Osijek — Varazdin

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the upcoming HNL match between Osijek and Varazdin on 17.04.2026, bookmakers offer odds of 2.28 for an Osijek win, 3.22 for a draw, and 3.08 for a Varazdin victory. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Osijek is given a 40.84% chance, a draw 28.92%, and Varazdin 30.24%. The odds and percentages indicate a slight edge for Osijek, but the difference between the teams is not significant, and a draw is also considered a viable outcome. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for an optimal bet based on recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Osijek recorded the following results: 12.04.2026 Rijeka - Osijek 0-2, 04.04.2026 Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek 7-0, 22.03.2026 Slaven Belupo - Osijek 0-0. Varazdin's last three games were: 12.04.2026 Varazdin - Slaven Belupo 2-1, 03.04.2026 Varazdin - HNK Gorica 1-1, 20.03.2026 Istra 1961 - Varazdin 2-1. Looking at the average statistics over five matches, Osijek has 43% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Varazdin has higher possession at 52%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on 08.02.2026, Varazdin defeated Osijek 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding scoring, Osijek's average total goals over a five-match span is 2, with the team scoring 0.6 on average and conceding 1.4. Varazdin's average total goals are higher at 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals, only 1 of Osijek's last 5 matches was over, while 4 were under. Varazdin had 2 of 5 matches over and 3 under. For half-time goals, only 1 of Osijek's 5 matches had two or more goals in the first half, similarly in the second half - 1 out of 5. Varazdin had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and 1 out of 5 in the second half. Osijek tends to score between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (29% each), while Varazdin scores most frequently in the final 15 minutes (76-90, 38%). Osijek concedes most often in the early stages (0-15 minutes - 33%) and towards the end (61-75 and 76-90 minutes - 33% each), while half of Varazdin's conceded goals come between 31-45 minutes. Considering Osijek's low scoring rate, Varazdin's moderate performance, and frequent under 2.5 goals, the logical bet is on under 2.5 goals at 1.67.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Osijek averages 2.6 corners per match, while Varazdin averages 4. In a series of five games, Osijek had over 9.5 corners twice, and Varazdin once. Looking at the odds, over 6.5 corners is priced at 1.19, under 6.5 at 4.20. From this data, it's expected that the match won't be high in corners, and a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, both teams' moderate corner statistics confirm a tendency towards fewer corners.