Prediction for match Slaven Belupo — HNK Gorica, 05.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming HNL match between Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica on December 5, 2025, the 1X2 odds are as follows: Slaven Belupo win at 2.10, draw at 3.32, and HNK Gorica win at 3.38. In terms of probability percentages, Slaven Belupo has 44.37%, a draw is at 28.06%, and HNK Gorica is at 27.57%. Slaven Belupo is favored by the bookmakers, but the gap in chances between the teams is not overwhelming. This suggests a competitive match is expected, with the main outcomes being within a working range.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Slaven Belupo has the following additional stats: ball possession - 46.4%, average yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 13.8, offsides - 1.6. HNK Gorica has ball possession - 46%, yellow cards - 3.2, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 1.2. In their last three matches, Slaven Belupo played as follows: 29.11.2025 - Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo - 1-1, 21.11.2025 - Slaven Belupo - Vukovar - 4-1, 08.11.2025 - Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo - 1-1. HNK Gorica's last three results were: 01.12.2025 - HNK Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb - 0-2, 23.11.2025 - HNK Gorica - Istra 1961 - 1-0, 07.11.2025 - HNK Gorica - Vukovar - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 21.09.2025, HNK Gorica defeated Slaven Belupo 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Considering goal productivity, Slaven Belupo averages 2.6 goals per match, while HNK Gorica averages 2.8. Slaven Belupo leads in goals scored - 1.8 compared to 1.4, and in goals conceded - 0.8 compared to 1.4. In a five-match series, the total over 2.5 occurred twice for both teams, and under three times. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was recorded twice for Slaven Belupo and once for HNK Gorica. In the second half, Slaven Belupo had the total over 1.5 only once, while HNK Gorica had it twice. Both teams most frequently score in the 76-90 minute interval - 43%. Slaven Belupo most often concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), while HNK Gorica concedes early (0-15, 29%) and just after the break (46-60, 29%). Overall, both teams have above-average scoring records, with average totals for five matches nearing 2.7. Given this, a bet on total over 2.5 at 1.98 seems logical, considering both teams can score and HNK Gorica's defense is not particularly reliable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average corners per match, Slaven Belupo has 2.2, while HNK Gorica has 3.4, totaling 5.6. In a five-match series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Slaven Belupo and twice for HNK Gorica. Looking at the odds, for a total of 8.5, there are two outcomes: over 8.5 at 1.73, under 8.5 at 1.99. The teams do not reach an over-profile for such a number of corners, making it more logical to consider the under options. At the same time, no clear favorite emerges in the corners market, as neither team shows a significant advantage in average values. Based on this data, a bet on corners total under 8.5 seems justified, given the low average figures for both sides.